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Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)

Simulated

Base Set Booster Box (Sealed) · Base Set · Sealed

high confidencebullish7730d 7.8%
Estimated Fair Value
$44,577
Lowest listing $44,594
Bear Case
$38,265
Base Case
$44,577
Bull Case
$51,060

Price History

Dec 2Range $37.5K$49.5KMay 30

Opportunity Score

25
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (sealed)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
  • Price up 8% over 30 days+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish77

Base Set Booster Box (Sealed) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.8%). Estimated fair value is $44577 against a lowest active listing of $44594. Valuation confidence is high based on 9-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+7.8% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
9
Sales / Month
13.5
Velocity Score
68/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-11.5%
Confidence
95/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps42739.4450%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices50648.425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection46362.7325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.2920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$34,186PWCCSealed667d agoJan 1View
$35,139TCGPlayerSealed984d agoJan 1View
$35,868TCGPlayerSealed856d agoJan 1View
$36,362MercariSealed7817d agoJun 3View
$36,363MercariSealed9718d agoJan 1View
$37,496MercariSealed745d agoJun 3View
$38,404Facebook MarketplaceSealed993d agoMay 31View
$40,338Facebook MarketplaceSealed1008d agoJun 1View
$41,000eBaySealed766d agoJan 1View
$41,972MercariSealed9817d agoJan 1View
$43,654MercariSealed9212d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$39,908MercariSealed2d ago
$39,425Facebook MarketplaceSealed3d ago
$37,178Facebook MarketplaceSealed5d ago
$40,229PWCCSealed9d ago
$36,090Facebook MarketplaceSealed11d ago
$43,901Facebook MarketplaceSealed13d ago
$41,303PWCCSealed15d ago
$44,004eBaySealed19d ago
$41,506PWCCSealed19d ago
$41,704Facebook MarketplaceSealed24d ago
$41,442MercariSealed25d ago
$40,616PWCCSealed29d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • 9% below fair value+10 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$7,093$6,4648.9%21.9%1839
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$836$73811.7%15.2%2153
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
  • Price up 18% over 30 days+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$3,068$3,263-6.3%17.8%340
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
  • 20% below fair value+24 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$971$77520.2%19.7%2048
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$1,713$1,51311.7%10.7%1442
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetPSA 9.5Simulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Price up 23% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
$1,440$1,25912.6%22.6%1957