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Scarlet & Violet 151 Booster Box — Scarlet & Violet 151 — SealedIllustration

Scarlet & Violet 151 Booster Box

Simulated

Scarlet & Violet 151 Booster Box · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Sealed

high confidencebearish3930d 9.8%
Estimated Fair Value
$3,490
Lowest listing $3,13710.1% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$2,994
Base Case
$3,490
Bull Case
$3,969

Price History

Dec 8Range $192 – $418Jun 5

Opportunity Score

41
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High listing quality (sealed)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish39

Scarlet & Violet 151 Booster Box is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-9.8%). Estimated fair value is $3490 against a lowest active listing of $3136. Valuation confidence is high based on 16-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-9.8% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
16
Sales / Month
14.0
Velocity Score
70/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+16.7%
Confidence
98/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
+3.4%
Marginal grading ROI
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$3,137
All-in cost
$3,166+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$12,546
Expected proceeds
$3,27530% gem → $3,764 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
$109
Breakeven graded value
$12,128value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.8dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
79.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+8.2%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
4active listings
Recent sold avg
$325mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$351cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$263
Median
$307
Mean
$309
Max
$367

Showing 25 of 26 sales · 1 outlier trimmed

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps3441.9350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices3508.6225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection3115.5525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.3320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$351TCGPlayerSealed8266d agoJan 1View
$383PWCCSealed6765d agoJan 1View
$393Facebook MarketplaceSealed9658d agoJan 1View
$406MercariSealed7769d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$356TCGPlayerSealed55d ago
$367PWCCSealed56d ago
$356Facebook MarketplaceSealed58d ago
$389PWCCSealed60d ago
$352PWCCSealed63d ago
$319MercariSealed65d ago
$320Facebook MarketplaceSealed65d ago
$350TCGPlayerSealed80d ago
$323MercariSealed82d ago
$319MercariSealed83d ago
$265PWCCSealed85d ago
$278eBaySealed85d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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