Scarlet & Violet 151 Booster Box
SimulatedScarlet & Violet 151 Booster Box · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Sealed
Price History
Opportunity Score
55- 19% below fair value+23 pts
- Sales accelerating+9 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (sealed)+6 pts
- Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish32Scarlet & Violet 151 Booster Box is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-13.4%). Estimated fair value is $334 against a lowest active listing of $269. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-13.4% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 326.21 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 307.39 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 320.85 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.29 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $337 | Facebook Marketplace | Sealed | 3d ago |
| $310 | eBay | Sealed | 7d ago |
| $290 | PWCC | Sealed | 16d ago |
| $307 | PWCC | Sealed | 17d ago |
| $287 | Mercari | Sealed | 25d ago |
| $264 | TCGPlayer | Sealed | 26d ago |
| $319 | TCGPlayer | Sealed | 38d ago |
| $296 | Facebook Marketplace | Sealed | 42d ago |
| $301 | TCGPlayer | Sealed | 52d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $693 | $601 | 13.3% | 3.6% | 15 | 45 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $264 | $229 | 13.2% | 4.4% | 3 | 54 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $596 | $551 | 7.5% | 5.8% | 19 | 41 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $252 | $211 | 16.3% | 10.5% | 16 | 46 |
Pikachu (Illustrator-style)Scarlet & Violet 151PSA 10Simulated
| $691 | $672 | 2.8% | 22.1% | 3 | 49 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $324 | $309 | 4.6% | 16.0% | 23 | 32 |