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Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box — Prismatic Evolutions — SealedIllustration

Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box

Simulated

Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box · Prismatic Evolutions · Sealed

high confidencebullish8530d 10.8%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,791
Lowest listing $1,56212.8% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$1,560
Base Case
$1,791
Bull Case
$2,023

Price History

Dec 8Range $141 – $210Jun 5

Opportunity Score

57
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (sealed)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
  • Price up 11% over 30 days+4 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish85

Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+10.8%). Estimated fair value is $1791 against a lowest active listing of $1562. Valuation confidence is high based on 6-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+10.8% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
14.5
Velocity Score
73/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+26.5%
Confidence
90/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
+2.5%
Marginal grading ROI
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$1,562
All-in cost
$1,591+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$6,246
Expected proceeds
$1,63030% gem → $1,874 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
$39.71
Breakeven graded value
$6,094value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.2dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
77.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-10.9%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
5active listings
Recent sold avg
$183mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$163cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$150
Median
$174
Mean
$178
Max
$206

Showing 25 of 25 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1691.5550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1719.2125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection1701.9125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)5.320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$163TCGPlayerSealed9856d agoJan 1View
$166PWCCSealed9861d agoJan 1View
$196MercariSealed7074d agoJan 1View
$197Facebook MarketplaceSealed8763d agoJan 1View
$205MercariSealed8572d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$194eBaySealed59d ago
$199PWCCSealed60d ago
$201PWCCSealed62d ago
$203TCGPlayerSealed64d ago
$205Facebook MarketplaceSealed66d ago
$206MercariSealed66d ago
$195PWCCSealed66d ago
$182eBaySealed72d ago
$183eBaySealed72d ago
$171MercariSealed73d ago
$161PWCCSealed74d ago
$160TCGPlayerSealed78d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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