Price History
Opportunity Score
39- 13% below fair value+15 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Population growth slowing+3 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish19Base Zard — Charizard (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-21.9%). Estimated fair value is $7270 against a lowest active listing of $6352. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-21.9% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 7772.4 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 7178.27 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 6692.29 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.44 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.31 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $9,238 | eBay | Graded | 95 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $9,777 | eBay | Graded | 67 | 20d ago | May 31 | View |
| $10,036 | Mercari | Graded | 65 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $10,650 | PWCC | Graded | 85 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $10,728 | PWCC | Graded | 97 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $10,968 | PWCC | Graded | 85 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $11,007 | eBay | Graded | 81 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $11,364 | PWCC | Graded | 86 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $12,305 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 65 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $10,309 | eBay | Graded | 4d ago |
| $9,163 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 25d ago |
| $8,803 | eBay | Graded | 26d ago |
| $8,543 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 28d ago |
| $7,872 | eBay | Graded | 31d ago |
| $7,299 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 32d ago |
| $7,783 | Mercari | Graded | 48d ago |
| $7,911 | eBay | Graded | 50d ago |
| $7,472 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 58d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard GX (Shiny)Hidden FatesPSA 10Simulated
| $736 | $758 | -3.0% | 1.7% | 6 | 23 |
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $224 | $169 | 24.4% | 17.9% | 19 | 59 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $553 | $496 | 10.3% | 6.8% | 17 | 43 |
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
| $442 | $409 | 7.3% | 13.6% | 17 | 33 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $930 | $804 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 9 | 37 |
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $689 | $621 | 9.8% | 3.6% | 8 | 44 |