Pikachu (Illustrator-style)
PSA 10SimulatedPikachu (Illustrator-style) · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Special Illustration Rare · 173/165
Character: Pikachu
Price History
Opportunity Score
36- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Price up 15% over 30 days+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- 4% below fair value+5 pts
- Population growth slowing+5 pts
- Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish87Pikachu (Illustrator-style) (PSA 10) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+15.1%). Estimated fair value is $633 against a lowest active listing of $607. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+15.1% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 604.83 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 706.14 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 688.55 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.07 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.72 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $531 | PWCC | Graded | 89 | 5d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $546 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 95 | 19d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $567 | Mercari | Graded | 98 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $576 | PWCC | Graded | 68 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $580 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 84 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $584 | eBay | Graded | 66 | 21h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $602 | Mercari | Graded | 96 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $618 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 100 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $619 | eBay | Graded | 93 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $635 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 70 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $640 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 90 | 5d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $650 | Mercari | Graded | 65 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $570 | Mercari | Graded | 1h ago |
| $582 | eBay | Graded | 17h ago |
| $532 | eBay | Graded | 2d ago |
| $554 | Mercari | Graded | 3d ago |
| $539 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 5d ago |
| $531 | eBay | Graded | 6d ago |
| $578 | Mercari | Graded | 12d ago |
| $515 | Mercari | Graded | 15d ago |
| $573 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 17d ago |
| $524 | Mercari | Graded | 20d ago |
| $543 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 24d ago |
| $506 | PWCC | Graded | 31d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $690 | $596 | 13.6% | 4.8% | 14 | 38 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $251 | $225 | 10.7% | 1.4% | 22 | 33 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $599 | $545 | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4 | 55 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $257 | $204 | 20.7% | 7.8% | 14 | 48 |
Pikachu V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $224 | $215 | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2 | 31 |
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $505 | $422 | 16.4% | 7.0% | 15 | 51 |