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Crown Zenith Elite Trainer Box — Crown Zenith — SealedIllustration

Crown Zenith Elite Trainer Box

Simulated

Crown Zenith Elite Trainer Box · Crown Zenith · Sealed

high confidencebullish8930d 28.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$618
Lowest listing $5825.8% below
Bear Case
$507
Base Case
$618
Bull Case
$732

Price History

Dec 8Range $90.00$136Jun 5

Opportunity Score

41
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Price up 28% over 30 days+8 pts
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High listing quality (sealed)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (5 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish89

Crown Zenith Elite Trainer Box is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+28.1%). Estimated fair value is $618 against a lowest active listing of $582. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+28.1% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
20
Sales / Month
5.0
Velocity Score
25/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+21.0%
Confidence
75/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-0.6%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$582
All-in cost
$611+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$2,327
Expected proceeds
$60730% gem → $698 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$3.40
Breakeven graded value
$2,340value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
3.1dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
48.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-24.3%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
11active listings
Recent sold avg
$118mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$89.69cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$98.16
Median
$121
Mean
$118
Max
$132

Showing 14 of 14 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps548.4950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices671.9825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection603.2125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)4.1920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$89.69eBaySealed6561d agoJan 1View
$97.28MercariSealed7256d agoJan 1View
$100Facebook MarketplaceSealed9060d agoJan 1View
$101MercariSealed6775d agoJan 1View
$102Facebook MarketplaceSealed8562d agoJan 1View
$106TCGPlayerSealed10062d agoJan 1View
$107eBaySealed8264d agoJan 1View
$108MercariSealed7968d agoJan 1View
$109eBaySealed7057d agoJan 1View
$112eBaySealed7872d agoJan 1View
$118eBaySealed8763d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$98.16TCGPlayerSealed56d ago
$109TCGPlayerSealed58d ago
$123eBaySealed62d ago
$109TCGPlayerSealed65d ago
$107TCGPlayerSealed71d ago
$122eBaySealed75d ago
$129Facebook MarketplaceSealed80d ago
$131eBaySealed81d ago
$132TCGPlayerSealed82d ago
$123eBaySealed82d ago
$120PWCCSealed100d ago
$122TCGPlayerSealed102d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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