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Mewtwo Ultra Rare

PSA 10Simulated

Mewtwo Ultra Rare · Base Set · Ultra Rare · 78/102

Character: Mewtwo

medium confidencebullish7730d 13.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,758
Lowest listing $1,7321.5% below
Bear Case
$1,503
Base Case
$1,758
Bull Case
$2,026

Price History

Dec 2Range $1.4K – $2.1KMay 30

Opportunity Score

26
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Price up 14% over 30 days+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts
  • 1% below fair value+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish77

Mewtwo Ultra Rare (PSA 10) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+13.9%). Estimated fair value is $1758 against a lowest active listing of $1732. Valuation confidence is medium based on 18-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+13.9% over 30d) with thin liquidity and rising graded population (5.2%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
Active Listings
18
Sales / Month
3.0
Velocity Score
15/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
-5.7%
Total Graded
1,056
Gem Mint
460
Population Growth
+5.2%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1664.650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1991.3525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection1981.5225%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.5950%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.1320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$1,728MercariGraded7419d agoJun 2View
$1,781Facebook MarketplaceGraded8118d agoJun 1View
$1,793PWCCGraded9622h agoJan 1View
$1,804MercariGraded7316d agoJan 1View
$1,829Facebook MarketplaceGraded8813d agoJun 2View
$1,898MercariGraded6419d agoJan 1View
$1,919eBayGraded7722h agoJan 1View
$2,005TCGPlayerGraded6712d agoJan 1View
$2,016Facebook MarketplaceGraded7620d agoJan 1View
$2,052eBayGraded7118d agoJan 1View
$2,062PWCCGraded627d agoJun 2View
$2,064TCGPlayerGraded8218d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$2,006PWCCGraded19h ago
$1,826MercariGraded4d ago
$1,837eBayGraded6d ago
$1,749PWCCGraded7d ago
$2,033Facebook MarketplaceGraded10d ago
$1,854Facebook MarketplaceGraded10d ago
$1,763TCGPlayerGraded11d ago
$1,889MercariGraded13d ago
$1,971PWCCGraded18d ago
$2,037PWCCGraded19d ago
$2,045MercariGraded20d ago
$2,038PWCCGraded21d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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