Snorlax (Crown Zenith)

Live

Snorlax (Crown Zenith) · Crown Zenith · Rare · 109/159

Character: Snorlax

high confidencebearish3430d 9.1%

Estimated Fair Value

$227

Anchored 1:1 to the live ungraded market price of $10.61. Real market data ingested from pokemontcg.io — point-in-time snapshot as-of 2026-06-04 (captured 2026-06-04), not a live quote.

Real lowest ask $7.00 USD96.9% below

Lowest ask $7.00 USD is the real lowest available ungraded market ask. Comparable sales below remain modeled structure. The lowest ask is about 97% below the anchored fair value. Real market data ingested from pokemontcg.io — point-in-time snapshot as-of 2026-06-04 (captured 2026-06-04), not a live quote.

2nd source (tcgcsv): $10.78 · sales-derived, ungraded · tcgcsv.com · as of Jun 4

Buy — real lowest ask $7.00 USD on TCGPlayer

Source: pokemontcg.io · as of Jun 4 · point-in-time snapshot, not a live quote · 55d old

Search live listings:eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active

Bear Case

$192

Base Case

$227

Bull Case

$260

Price History

Dec 8Range $8.50 – $13.32Jun 5

Opportunity Score

11% below fair value+13 pts
Reputable seller+7 pts
High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
High valuation confidence+5 pts
Strong demand (5 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish34

Snorlax (Crown Zenith) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-9.1%). Estimated fair value is $227 against a lowest active listing of $202. Fair value is anchored 1:1 to a live ungraded market price from pokemontcg.io. Anchored 1:1 to the live ungraded market price of $10.61. Real market data ingested from pokemontcg.io — point-in-time snapshot as-of 2026-06-04 (captured 2026-06-04), not a live quote. Valuation confidence is high. The comparable sales below remain modeled around that anchor — they are not real recorded sales. The lowest ask of $7 is the real lowest available market ask (TCGPlayer), so the 97% discount is derived from real data; the comparable rows beneath remain modeled structure.

Bearish: softening prices (-9.1% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings

Sales / Month

5.0

Velocity Score

25/100

Illiquid

Sales Velocity 30d

-6.8%

Confidence

77/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)

-79.7%

Grading not economical

unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost: $7.00
All-in cost: $36.00+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem): $28.00
Expected proceeds: $7.3130% gem → $8.40 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card: -$28.69
Breakeven graded value: $138value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

Gem-grade rate30%

Grading fee / card$25.00

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated

Days to sell: 1.4dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through: 95.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread: -24.4%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth: 1active listings
Recent sold avg: $9.26mean over 90d
Lowest ask: $7.00cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Trim outliers (IQR)

Sold from

Sold to

Min: $8.22
Median: $9.31
Mean: $9.33
Max: $10.46

Showing 26 of 26 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

Signal	Detail	Reference	Weight
recent sales	Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps	232.28	50%
listing inventory	Average of active listing asking prices	232.01	25%
price trend	Recent historical price trend projection	221.97	25%
demand momentum	Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)	-1.35	20%

Active Listings

Price	Marketplace	Condition	Seller	Listed	Ends	Link
$7.00	TCGPlayer	Near Mint	0	56d ago	Jan 1	View

Recent Sales

Price	Marketplace	Condition	Sold
$10.32	Mercari	Near Mint	58d ago
$10.09	Mercari	Near Mint	59d ago
$9.34	TCGPlayer	Near Mint	60d ago
$9.23	Mercari	Near Mint	63d ago
$9.67	TCGPlayer	Near Mint	63d ago
$9.66	TCGPlayer	Near Mint	65d ago
$9.27	Facebook Marketplace	Near Mint	67d ago
$8.82	eBay	Near Mint	68d ago
$9.05	Mercari	Near Mint	71d ago
$9.15	TCGPlayer	Near Mint	73d ago
$9.71	Mercari	Near Mint	74d ago
$8.51	eBay	Near Mint	74d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

This market snapshot is stale — captured Jun 4 (55d old).

Live ingestion (eBay listings & graded sold-comps) is not configured in this environment, so prices are a real but point-in-time capture, not a live quote.

To enable primary-source graded comps, set GRADED_API_KEY and run make ingest-graded PROVIDER=pokemonapi (free tier).

Reference price: Live
Fair value basis: Live-anchored
Lowest ask (deal): Live
Active listings: Live
Card image: Live
Recent sales: Simulated
Population data: Simulated
Liquidity metrics: Simulated
Liquidity analytics: Simulated
Price history: Simulated

Same character or set.

Asset	Fair Value	Lowest	Discount	30d	Avail	Score
SnorlaxJunglePSA 10Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $136 · sales-derived, ungradedView $72.75 · TCGPlayer 38% below fair value+35 pts Low active inventory+9 pts High listing quality (graded)+6 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$277	$172	38.0%	5.9%	1	61
SnorlaxJungleSimulated Sales accelerating+8 pts Reputable seller+7 pts High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$11,249	$11,583	-3.0%	0.6%	11	29
Mew VCrown ZenithSimulated 12% below fair value+14 pts High valuation confidence+7 pts Reputable seller+6 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$2,195	$1,935	11.9%	9.2%	22	38
Crown Zenith Elite Trainer BoxCrown ZenithSimulated High valuation confidence+7 pts Reputable seller+6 pts High listing quality (sealed)+6 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$615	$596	3.1%	14.4%	16	34
PincurchinCrown ZenithPSA 9Simulated High valuation confidence+7 pts High listing quality (graded)+6 pts Reputable seller+5 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$115	$115	0.1%	9.6%	23	27
ZarudeCrown ZenithBGS 9Simulated 15% below fair value+18 pts Sales accelerating+9 pts High valuation confidence+7 pts eBay active eBay sold TCGplayer active	$143	$121	15.2%	5.0%	18	52

Price History

Opportunity Score

Investment Thesis

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Adjust modeled assumptions

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Comp Explorer

How Fair Value Is Built

Active Listings

Recent Sales

Signal Track Record

Data Provenance

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