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Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle — Prismatic Evolutions — SealedIllustration

Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle

Simulated

Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle · Prismatic Evolutions · Sealed

medium confidencebearish2630d 13.0%
Estimated Fair Value
$248
Lowest listing $22111.1% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$205
Base Case
$248
Bull Case
$290

Price History

Dec 8Range $71.54 – $108Jun 5

Opportunity Score

39
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • High listing quality (sealed)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish26

Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-13.0%). Estimated fair value is $248 against a lowest active listing of $221. Valuation confidence is medium based on 2-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-13.0% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
2
Sales / Month
6.0
Velocity Score
30/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+2.4%
Confidence
67/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-7.7%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$221
All-in cost
$250+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$883
Expected proceeds
$23030% gem → $265 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$19.29
Breakeven graded value
$957value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
4.1dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
39.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-17.5%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
11active listings
Recent sold avg
$94.44mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$77.88cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$79.76
Median
$87.75
Mean
$87.20
Max
$94.08

Showing 9 of 11 sales · 2 outliers trimmed

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps258.7650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices236.2325%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection233.9525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.4820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$77.88TCGPlayerSealed9468d agoJan 1View
$78.89eBaySealed9062d agoJan 1View
$79.58TCGPlayerSealed6065d agoJun 7View
$83.49MercariSealed7866d agoJun 6View
$86.24Facebook MarketplaceSealed7475d agoJan 1View
$88.28MercariSealed9967d agoJan 1View
$90.60PWCCSealed8458d agoJun 6View
$95.86Facebook MarketplaceSealed8764d agoJan 1View
$96.58PWCCSealed9763d agoJan 1View
$97.07PWCCSealed7263d agoJan 1View
$97.52Facebook MarketplaceSealed6663d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$89.98TCGPlayerSealed60d ago
$85.08MercariSealed71d ago
$106MercariSealed76d ago
$108Facebook MarketplaceSealed77d ago
$94.08Facebook MarketplaceSealed81d ago
$87.75MercariSealed83d ago
$90.26PWCCSealed87d ago
$79.76PWCCSealed101d ago
$88.31eBaySealed104d ago
$84.27MercariSealed105d ago
$85.33TCGPlayerSealed112d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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