Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)
PSA 10SimulatedRayquaza VMAX (Alt Art) · Evolving Skies · Alt Art · 218/203
Character: Rayquaza
Price History
Opportunity Score
59- 9% below fair value+11 pts
- Sales accelerating+9 pts
- Low active inventory+8 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Price up 12% over 30 days+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish81Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art) (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+12.3%). Estimated fair value is $701 against a lowest active listing of $636. Valuation confidence is medium based on 2-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+12.3% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 669.66 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 710.75 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 633.88 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.17 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.36 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $639 | PWCC | Graded | 67 | 8d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $681 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 77 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $698 | eBay | Graded | 60 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $712 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 75 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $723 | eBay | Graded | 83 | 13d ago | May 31 | View |
| $728 | Mercari | Graded | 83 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $729 | eBay | Graded | 92 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $754 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 63 | 3d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $762 | eBay | Graded | 73 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $790 | Mercari | Graded | 85 | 17d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $803 | PWCC | Graded | 89 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $807 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 92 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $671 | PWCC | Graded | 3h ago |
| $661 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 4d ago |
| $633 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 4d ago |
| $628 | eBay | Graded | 4d ago |
| $666 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 8d ago |
| $640 | PWCC | Graded | 11d ago |
| $671 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 14d ago |
| $665 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 14d ago |
| $621 | eBay | Graded | 16d ago |
| $684 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 17d ago |
| $678 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 18d ago |
| $649 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 20d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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Same character or set.
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Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
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Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $843 | $790 | 6.2% | 16.9% | 9 | 44 |
Rayquaza Ultra RarePrismatic EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $436 | $393 | 9.8% | 9.0% | 13 | 44 |