Gengar ex (Special Illustration)
PSA 9SimulatedGengar ex (Special Illustration) · Hidden Fates · Special Illustration Rare · 13/163
Character: Gengar
Price History
Opportunity Score
60- 12% below fair value+14 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- Price up 24% over 30 days+8 pts
- Low active inventory+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish93Gengar ex (Special Illustration) (PSA 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+24.2%). Estimated fair value is $516 against a lowest active listing of $455. Valuation confidence is high based on 3-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+24.2% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 475.51 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 515.43 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 551.98 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.32 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.84 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $561 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 66 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $566 | PWCC | Graded | 86 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $574 | eBay | Graded | 84 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $586 | eBay | Graded | 71 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $597 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 66 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $627 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 60 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $631 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 92 | 7d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $652 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 72 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $675 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 86 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $694 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 79 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $744 | Mercari | Graded | 96 | 15d ago | May 31 | View |
| $748 | Mercari | Graded | 76 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $632 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 2d ago |
| $637 | Mercari | Graded | 6d ago |
| $573 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 7d ago |
| $600 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 7d ago |
| $637 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 8d ago |
| $596 | PWCC | Graded | 12d ago |
| $642 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 16d ago |
| $651 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 22d ago |
| $609 | eBay | Graded | 22d ago |
| $614 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 23d ago |
| $555 | PWCC | Graded | 25d ago |
| $608 | eBay | Graded | 31d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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