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Regieleki — Evolving Skies — Rare Holo

Regieleki

Simulated

Regieleki · Evolving Skies · Rare Holo · 60

Character: Regieleki

high confidencebullish7830d ▲7.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$73.12
Lowest listing $66.818.6% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$62.53
Base Case
$73.12
Bull Case
$84.22

Price History

Dec 8Range $53.55 – $106Jun 5

Opportunity Score

38
  • 9% below fair value+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (15 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Price up 8% over 30 days+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish78

Regieleki is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.5%). Estimated fair value is $73 against a lowest active listing of $67. Valuation confidence is high based on 23-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+7.5% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
23
Sales / Month
15.0
Velocity Score
75/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-8.5%
Confidence
97/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-27.2%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$66.81
All-in cost
$95.81+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$267
Expected proceeds
$69.7530% gem → $80.17 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$26.06
Breakeven graded value
$367value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
4.3dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
25.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-4.3%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
15active listings
Recent sold avg
$97.81mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$93.64cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$73.59
Median
$90.00
Mean
$89.16
Max
$111

Showing 9 of 9 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps71.4550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices76.6925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection77.9625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$93.64TCGPlayerNear Mint7270d agoJan 1View
$93.84MercariNear Mint6960d agoJun 10View
$94.05eBayNear Mint7265d agoJan 1View
$95.02Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6570d agoJan 1View
$101MercariNear Mint7260d agoJan 1View
$108TCGPlayerNear Mint7566d agoJan 1View
$112Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9470d agoJan 1View
$114MercariNear Mint6859d agoJan 1View
$116eBayNear Mint8575d agoJan 1View
$119Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9259d agoJan 1View
$120TCGPlayerNear Mint7957d agoJan 1View
$121Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9763d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$111eBayNear Mint56d ago
$102PWCCNear Mint61d ago
$91.20PWCCNear Mint70d ago
$94.88TCGPlayerNear Mint74d ago
$90.00eBayNear Mint77d ago
$81.75eBayNear Mint103d ago
$75.33TCGPlayerNear Mint104d ago
$82.71TCGPlayerNear Mint107d ago
$73.59eBayNear Mint112d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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