Moonbreon
PSA 10SimulatedUmbreon VMAX (Alt Art) · Evolving Skies · Alt Art · 215/203
Character: Umbreon
Price History
Opportunity Score
40- 10% below fair value+11 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Low active inventory+5 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral54Moonbreon — Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art) (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+0.8%). Estimated fair value is $1587 against a lowest active listing of $1432. Valuation confidence is medium based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 1591.7 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 1602.44 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1552.42 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.5 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.31 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,417 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 99 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,424 | PWCC | Graded | 84 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,429 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 82 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,441 | Mercari | Graded | 64 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,456 | PWCC | Graded | 64 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,501 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 87 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,521 | eBay | Graded | 83 | 22h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,544 | Mercari | Graded | 81 | 5d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $1,553 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 66 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,650 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 86 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,654 | Mercari | Graded | 86 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,697 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 76 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,702 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 3d ago |
| $1,577 | eBay | Graded | 4d ago |
| $1,652 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 4d ago |
| $1,647 | PWCC | Graded | 6d ago |
| $1,781 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 23d ago |
| $1,647 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 29d ago |
| $1,757 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 37d ago |
| $1,637 | Mercari | Graded | 49d ago |
| $1,677 | PWCC | Graded | 54d ago |
| $1,935 | Mercari | Graded | 55d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $212 | $191 | 9.7% | 14.5% | 4 | 46 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $534 | $459 | 14.0% | 6.4% | 14 | 43 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $303 | $255 | 15.8% | 9.4% | 22 | 52 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $292 | $230 | 21.4% | 22.0% | 12 | 50 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $529 | $464 | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12 | 46 |
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $406 | $374 | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8 | 49 |