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Moonbreon

PSA 10Simulated

Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art) · Evolving Skies · Alt Art · 215/203

Character: Umbreon

medium confidenceneutral5430d 0.8%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,587
Lowest listing $1,4329.8% below
Bear Case
$1,377
Base Case
$1,587
Bull Case
$1,800

Price History

Dec 2Range $1.2K$2.1KMay 30

Opportunity Score

40
  • 10% below fair value+11 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+5 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral54

Moonbreon — Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art) (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+0.8%). Estimated fair value is $1587 against a lowest active listing of $1432. Valuation confidence is medium based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
5
Sales / Month
3.5
Velocity Score
18/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
-1.6%
Total Graded
4,305
Gem Mint
1,619
Population Growth
-1.0%
Stable supply

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1591.750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1602.4425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection1552.4225%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)0.550%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.3120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$1,417TCGPlayerGraded996d agoJan 1View
$1,424PWCCGraded8414d agoJan 1View
$1,429Facebook MarketplaceGraded8211d agoJan 1View
$1,441MercariGraded6421d agoJan 1View
$1,456PWCCGraded6418d agoJan 1View
$1,501Facebook MarketplaceGraded8710d agoJan 1View
$1,521eBayGraded8322h agoJan 1View
$1,544MercariGraded815d agoJun 1View
$1,553TCGPlayerGraded6613d agoJan 1View
$1,650Facebook MarketplaceGraded8614d agoJan 1View
$1,654MercariGraded8618d agoJan 1View
$1,697TCGPlayerGraded7611d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$1,702TCGPlayerGraded3d ago
$1,577eBayGraded4d ago
$1,652Facebook MarketplaceGraded4d ago
$1,647PWCCGraded6d ago
$1,781Facebook MarketplaceGraded23d ago
$1,647Facebook MarketplaceGraded29d ago
$1,757Facebook MarketplaceGraded37d ago
$1,637MercariGraded49d ago
$1,677PWCCGraded54d ago
$1,935MercariGraded55d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
  • 10% below fair value+11 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$212$1919.7%14.5%446
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$534$45914.0%6.4%1443
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 16% below fair value+18 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$303$25515.8%9.4%2252
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 21% below fair value+25 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
$292$23021.4%22.0%1250
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Population growth slowing+7 pts
$529$46412.3%14.0%1246
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$406$3748.0%11.1%849