Umbreon Ultra Rare
CGC 9SimulatedUmbreon Ultra Rare · HeartGold SoulSilver · Ultra Rare · 99/123
Character: Umbreon
Price History
Opportunity Score
39- 13% below fair value+15 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
- Population growth slowing+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish39Umbreon Ultra Rare (CGC 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-7.6%). Estimated fair value is $637 against a lowest active listing of $555. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-7.6% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 666.98 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 639.8 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 617.59 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.02 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.34 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $646 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 1d ago |
| $635 | eBay | Graded | 6d ago |
| $684 | Mercari | Graded | 12d ago |
| $640 | Mercari | Graded | 13d ago |
| $682 | eBay | Graded | 18d ago |
| $659 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 40d ago |
| $662 | Mercari | Graded | 43d ago |
| $660 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 44d ago |
| $660 | eBay | Graded | 49d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $256 | $236 | 8.0% | 1.4% | 2 | 38 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,600 | $1,515 | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4 | 45 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $366 | $305 | 16.9% | 14.4% | 23 | 51 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $583 | $556 | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4 | 41 |
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $377 | $323 | 14.4% | 1.5% | 14 | 41 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $390 | $330 | 15.4% | 50.1% | 17 | 64 |