Blastoise ex (Special Illustration)
CGC 9.5SimulatedBlastoise ex (Special Illustration) · Evolving Skies · Special Illustration Rare · 134/237
Character: Blastoise
Price History
Opportunity Score
46- 13% below fair value+16 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Price up 7% over 30 days+3 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish69Blastoise ex (Special Illustration) (CGC 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.5%). Estimated fair value is $415 against a lowest active listing of $359. Valuation confidence is medium based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+7.5% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 417.82 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 400.23 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 426.62 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.37 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.6 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $322 | eBay | Graded | 75 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $328 | eBay | Graded | 73 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $350 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 81 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $359 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 71 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $373 | eBay | Graded | 90 | 13d ago | May 31 | View |
| $383 | Mercari | Graded | 75 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $387 | eBay | Graded | 71 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $397 | eBay | Graded | 100 | 15d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $403 | Mercari | Graded | 65 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $405 | Mercari | Graded | 96 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $412 | PWCC | Graded | 86 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $413 | eBay | Graded | 92 | 10d ago | Jun 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $406 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 13d ago |
| $378 | Mercari | Graded | 25d ago |
| $401 | Mercari | Graded | 33d ago |
| $331 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 37d ago |
| $337 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 39d ago |
| $345 | Mercari | Graded | 42d ago |
| $356 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 46d ago |
| $409 | eBay | Graded | 52d ago |
| $425 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 54d ago |
| $407 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 55d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $242 | $217 | 10.5% | 5.1% | 11 | 41 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $586 | $523 | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12 | 46 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,592 | $1,469 | 7.7% | 4.6% | 19 | 38 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $303 | $267 | 12.0% | 0.8% | 16 | 39 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $721 | $682 | 5.3% | 11.8% | 3 | 49 |
Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
| $727 | $684 | 6.0% | 8.2% | 17 | 38 |