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Blastoise ex (Special Illustration)

CGC 9.5Simulated

Blastoise ex (Special Illustration) · Evolving Skies · Special Illustration Rare · 134/237

Character: Blastoise

medium confidencebullish6930d 7.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$415
Lowest listing $35913.4% below
Bear Case
$359
Base Case
$415
Bull Case
$471

Price History

Dec 2Range $328$654May 30

Opportunity Score

46
  • 13% below fair value+16 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • Price up 7% over 30 days+3 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish69

Blastoise ex (Special Illustration) (CGC 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.5%). Estimated fair value is $415 against a lowest active listing of $359. Valuation confidence is medium based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+7.5% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
17
Sales / Month
3.5
Velocity Score
18/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
-3.0%
Total Graded
3,709
Gem Mint
2,130
Population Growth
-0.7%
Stable supply

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps417.8250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices400.2325%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection426.6225%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)0.3750%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$322eBayGraded7519d agoJan 1View
$328eBayGraded7311d agoJan 1View
$350Facebook MarketplaceGraded8119d agoJan 1View
$359TCGPlayerGraded714d agoJan 1View
$373eBayGraded9013d agoMay 31View
$383MercariGraded7517d agoJan 1View
$387eBayGraded7114d agoJan 1View
$397eBayGraded10015d agoJun 4View
$403MercariGraded657d agoJan 1View
$405MercariGraded966d agoJan 1View
$412PWCCGraded862d agoJan 1View
$413eBayGraded9210d agoJun 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$406Facebook MarketplaceGraded13d ago
$378MercariGraded25d ago
$401MercariGraded33d ago
$331Facebook MarketplaceGraded37d ago
$337Facebook MarketplaceGraded39d ago
$345MercariGraded42d ago
$356TCGPlayerGraded46d ago
$409eBayGraded52d ago
$425TCGPlayerGraded54d ago
$407TCGPlayerGraded55d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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