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Dec 2Range $322 – $552May 30
Estimated Fair Value
$413
Lowest listing $36511.5% below
Bear Case
$355
Base Case
$413
Bull Case
$469
Price History
Opportunity Score
39- 12% below fair value+14 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (13 sales/mo)+4 pts
- Sales accelerating+3 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral48Sylveon Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-5.4%). Estimated fair value is $413 against a lowest active listing of $365. Valuation confidence is high based on 19-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: softening prices (-5.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Active Listings
19
Sales / Month
13.0
Velocity Score
65/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+6.7%
Confidence
98/100
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 407.81 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 419.28 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 394.51 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.35 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $308 | Mercari | Near Mint | 84 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $312 | Mercari | Near Mint | 98 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $324 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 77 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $325 | eBay | Near Mint | 79 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $338 | eBay | Near Mint | 71 | 16d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $341 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 83 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $343 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 98 | 12d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $348 | eBay | Near Mint | 90 | 20d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $349 | Mercari | Near Mint | 67 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $353 | Mercari | Near Mint | 69 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $363 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 62 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $369 | eBay | Near Mint | 100 | 16d ago | Jun 2 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $354 | PWCC | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $311 | PWCC | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $320 | eBay | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $384 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $366 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $350 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 24d ago |
| $379 | Mercari | Near Mint | 25d ago |
| $347 | PWCC | Near Mint | 27d ago |
| $352 | PWCC | Near Mint | 29d ago |
| $397 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 31d ago |
| $397 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 35d ago |
| $356 | PWCC | Near Mint | 41d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Rayquaza V (Full Art)JungleSimulated
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Lugia Ultra RareJungleSimulated
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Mew Ultra RareJungleSimulated
| $782 | $668 | 14.6% | 4.7% | 2 | 54 |
Mew V (Full Art)JungleBGS 9Simulated
| $794 | $750 | 5.5% | 14.9% | 7 | 37 |