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Dec 2Range $422 – $628May 30
Estimated Fair Value
$590
Lowest listing $51213.1% below
Bear Case
$513
Base Case
$590
Bull Case
$668
Price History
Opportunity Score
49- 13% below fair value+15 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (11 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Price up 5% over 30 days+2 pts
- Sales accelerating+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish69Snorlax (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+4.9%). Estimated fair value is $590 against a lowest active listing of $512. Valuation confidence is high based on 23-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Active Listings
23
Sales / Month
11.0
Velocity Score
55/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+4.8%
Total Graded
5,127
Gem Mint
2,662
Population Growth
+0.0%
Stable supply
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 566.96 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 599.32 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 602.66 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.96 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $487 | PWCC | Graded | 98 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $493 | PWCC | Graded | 70 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $506 | Mercari | Graded | 70 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $509 | Mercari | Graded | 93 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $529 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 82 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $546 | Mercari | Graded | 98 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $556 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 87 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $574 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 82 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $599 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 88 | 21h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $623 | PWCC | Graded | 69 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $625 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 96 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $627 | eBay | Graded | 85 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $530 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 16h ago |
| $533 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 1d ago |
| $550 | PWCC | Graded | 2d ago |
| $601 | eBay | Graded | 3d ago |
| $527 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 4d ago |
| $516 | PWCC | Graded | 5d ago |
| $556 | Mercari | Graded | 9d ago |
| $541 | eBay | Graded | 13d ago |
| $572 | eBay | Graded | 14d ago |
| $488 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 14d ago |
| $515 | PWCC | Graded | 14d ago |
| $513 | Mercari | Graded | 15d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $6,953 | $6,522 | 6.2% | 19.5% | 4 | 37 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $847 | $746 | 11.9% | 21.1% | 21 | 55 |
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
| $47,297 | $42,926 | 9.2% | 1.9% | 11 | 39 |
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
| $2,909 | $2,962 | -1.8% | 17.7% | 6 | 33 |
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
| $955 | $746 | 21.9% | 27.4% | 12 | 53 |
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $1,738 | $1,608 | 7.5% | 16.8% | 6 | 45 |