Gengar Holo Rare
SimulatedGengar Holo Rare · HeartGold SoulSilver · Holo Rare · 7/123
Character: Gengar
Price History
Opportunity Score
29- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
- 3% below fair value+4 pts
- Price up 4% over 30 days+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish71Gengar Holo Rare is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+4.1%). Estimated fair value is $224 against a lowest active listing of $216. Valuation confidence is high based on 18-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 215.99 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 239.44 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 245.09 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -2.12 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $188 | eBay | Near Mint | 90 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $189 | PWCC | Near Mint | 60 | 2d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $200 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 94 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $206 | Mercari | Near Mint | 75 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $207 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 79 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $211 | PWCC | Near Mint | 93 | 23h ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $212 | PWCC | Near Mint | 88 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $222 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 99 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $222 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 93 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $228 | Mercari | Near Mint | 61 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $229 | Mercari | Near Mint | 95 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $232 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 85 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $187 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $197 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $207 | Mercari | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $194 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $174 | Mercari | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $186 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $171 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $154 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $164 | Mercari | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $190 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 26d ago |
| $169 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 27d ago |
| $173 | PWCC | Near Mint | 29d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
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Umbreon Ultra RareHeartGold SoulSilverCGC 9Simulated
| $669 | $546 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 6 | 59 |
Gengar V (Full Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $359 | $363 | -1.2% | 27.6% | 8 | 37 |
Gengar Secret RareHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
| $723 | $667 | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4 | 49 |
Gengar ex (Special Illustration)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $256 | $217 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 9 | 44 |