Snorlax Ultra Rare
BGS 10SimulatedSnorlax Ultra Rare · Hidden Fates · Ultra Rare · 15/163
Character: Snorlax
Price History
Opportunity Score
50- 14% below fair value+16 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+5 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral50Snorlax Ultra Rare (BGS 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-2.3%). Estimated fair value is $518 against a lowest active listing of $446. Valuation confidence is high based on 13-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 515.74 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 505.19 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 484.44 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.07 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.61 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $513 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 84 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $529 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 70 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $536 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 94 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $559 | PWCC | Graded | 70 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $577 | PWCC | Graded | 70 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $585 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 82 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $589 | Mercari | Graded | 73 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $623 | PWCC | Graded | 85 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $632 | eBay | Graded | 88 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $644 | eBay | Graded | 77 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $648 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 72 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $571 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 2d ago |
| $571 | eBay | Graded | 12d ago |
| $545 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 14d ago |
| $526 | PWCC | Graded | 18d ago |
| $583 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 18d ago |
| $577 | Mercari | Graded | 20d ago |
| $588 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 36d ago |
| $591 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 36d ago |
| $546 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 38d ago |
| $549 | eBay | Graded | 39d ago |
| $578 | PWCC | Graded | 42d ago |
| $535 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 54d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard GX (Shiny)Hidden FatesPSA 10Simulated
| $807 | $702 | 13.1% | 0.3% | 8 | 50 |
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
| $504 | $488 | 3.2% | 18.7% | 4 | 50 |
Pikachu V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $238 | $203 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 18 | 55 |
Mewtwo Secret RareHidden FatesSimulated
| $345 | $376 | -9.2% | 29.3% | 4 | 35 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $409 | $350 | 14.4% | 5.0% | 15 | 49 |
Snorlax Holo RareBase SetSimulated
| $389 | $376 | 3.5% | 3.8% | 11 | 31 |