Mewtwo ex (Special Illustration)
SimulatedMewtwo ex (Special Illustration) · XY Evolutions · Special Illustration Rare · 15/108
Character: Mewtwo
Price History
Opportunity Score
39- 10% below fair value+12 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Price up 11% over 30 days+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish78Mewtwo ex (Special Illustration) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+11.2%). Estimated fair value is $460 against a lowest active listing of $412. Valuation confidence is high based on 14-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+11.2% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 423.03 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 495.96 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 459.76 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.09 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $464 | PWCC | Near Mint | 88 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $471 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 92 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $473 | PWCC | Near Mint | 87 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $496 | Mercari | Near Mint | 81 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $502 | eBay | Near Mint | 62 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $504 | eBay | Near Mint | 81 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $513 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 72 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $521 | eBay | Near Mint | 77 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $533 | eBay | Near Mint | 87 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $535 | eBay | Near Mint | 69 | 8d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $554 | Mercari | Near Mint | 80 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $556 | eBay | Near Mint | 84 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $504 | eBay | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $531 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $556 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $562 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $490 | Mercari | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $585 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $482 | eBay | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $524 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $527 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $496 | PWCC | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $486 | PWCC | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $494 | PWCC | Near Mint | 22d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $677 | $593 | 12.5% | 1.5% | 14 | 38 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $261 | $213 | 18.5% | 6.0% | 10 | 55 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $1,038 | $971 | 6.4% | 17.2% | 22 | 44 |
Charizard VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $1,134 | $892 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 18 | 53 |
Charizard ex (Special Illustration)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $634 | $561 | 11.4% | 7.3% | 21 | 49 |
Pikachu VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsPSA 9.5Simulated
| $1,252 | $1,080 | 13.7% | 6.7% | 22 | 55 |