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Charizard GX (Shiny)

PSA 10Simulated

Charizard GX (Shiny) · Hidden Fates · Secret Rare · SV49/SV94

Character: Charizard

high confidencebullish6430d 4.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$760
Lowest listing $7007.8% below
Bear Case
$660
Base Case
$760
Bull Case
$858

Price History

Dec 2Range $638$889May 30

Opportunity Score

41
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+5 pts
  • Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts
  • Price up 4% over 30 days+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish64

Charizard GX (Shiny) (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+4.3%). Estimated fair value is $760 against a lowest active listing of $700. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
12.5
Velocity Score
63/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+12.3%
Total Graded
1,832
Gem Mint
380
Population Growth
+4.4%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps761.4350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices772.125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection736.8125%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.1950%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.4720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$697TCGPlayerGraded7810d agoJan 1View
$718PWCCGraded7211d agoJan 1View
$739PWCCGraded6911d agoJun 1View
$780MercariGraded8310d agoJun 4View
$784PWCCGraded7614d agoJan 1View
$809PWCCGraded9211d agoJan 1View
$811TCGPlayerGraded616d agoJan 1View
$818PWCCGraded6312d agoJan 1View
$823MercariGraded883d agoJan 1View
$834eBayGraded808d agoMay 31View
$837Facebook MarketplaceGraded8111d agoJun 3View
$845MercariGraded6714d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$777TCGPlayerGraded5d ago
$764PWCCGraded6d ago
$732eBayGraded6d ago
$802eBayGraded10d ago
$761Facebook MarketplaceGraded11d ago
$871MercariGraded12d ago
$771eBayGraded12d ago
$839TCGPlayerGraded12d ago
$758eBayGraded13d ago
$828MercariGraded13d ago
$763TCGPlayerGraded15d ago
$733eBayGraded20d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$6,953$6,5226.2%19.5%437
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
  • 16% below fair value+19 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$210$17615.9%15.7%1942
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$532$551-3.7%6.3%336
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
  • 9% below fair value+10 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$414$3778.9%18.9%2033
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$995$88011.6%1.9%2038
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$690$59613.6%4.8%1438