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Dec 2Range $1.1K – $1.6KMay 30
Estimated Fair Value
$1,105
Lowest listing $1,0574.3% below
Bear Case
$968
Base Case
$1,105
Bull Case
$1,237
Price History
Opportunity Score
40- Sales accelerating+11 pts
- Low active inventory+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- 4% below fair value+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
- Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral54Mew Promo (PSA 10) is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+2.6%). Estimated fair value is $1105 against a lowest active listing of $1057. Valuation confidence is medium based on 4-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Active Listings
4
Sales / Month
4.5
Velocity Score
23/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+27.5%
Total Graded
4,481
Gem Mint
1,678
Population Growth
+4.4%
Slowing
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 1079.85 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 1078.74 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1044.35 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.22 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.5 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,267 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 92 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,300 | PWCC | Graded | 93 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,342 | PWCC | Graded | 76 | 21d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $1,347 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 94 | 20d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $1,361 | eBay | Graded | 64 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,368 | PWCC | Graded | 61 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,411 | eBay | Graded | 96 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,421 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 88 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,429 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 71 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,448 | Mercari | Graded | 87 | 12d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $1,474 | Mercari | Graded | 72 | 14d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $1,488 | eBay | Graded | 74 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,450 | Mercari | Graded | 5d ago |
| $1,371 | Mercari | Graded | 5d ago |
| $1,364 | PWCC | Graded | 8d ago |
| $1,458 | Mercari | Graded | 10d ago |
| $1,505 | Mercari | Graded | 11d ago |
| $1,258 | eBay | Graded | 12d ago |
| $1,359 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 13d ago |
| $1,504 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 13d ago |
| $1,406 | eBay | Graded | 16d ago |
| $1,319 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 21d ago |
| $1,317 | PWCC | Graded | 22d ago |
| $1,320 | eBay | Graded | 30d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Ultra RareFossilSimulated
| $1,583 | $1,387 | 12.4% | 9.4% | 19 | 41 |
Charizard V (Full Art)FossilSimulated
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Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)FossilSimulated
| $1,374 | $1,206 | 12.2% | 11.8% | 4 | 41 |
Rayquaza Ultra RareFossilSimulated
| $1,101 | $1,040 | 5.5% | 14.6% | 3 | 44 |
Pikachu PromoFossilSimulated
| $794 | $686 | 13.6% | 1.9% | 22 | 39 |
Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $1,010 | $831 | 17.7% | 17.7% | 18 | 46 |