Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)
SimulatedPikachu ex (Illustration Rare) · HeartGold SoulSilver · Illustration Rare · 69/123
Character: Pikachu
Price History
Opportunity Score
41- 13% below fair value+15 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+6 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral60Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+2.1%). Estimated fair value is $497 against a lowest active listing of $433. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 477.96 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 490.96 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 487.5 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.76 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $412 | PWCC | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $465 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $477 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $424 | eBay | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $433 | eBay | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $475 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 24d ago |
| $459 | eBay | Near Mint | 25d ago |
| $496 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 26d ago |
| $496 | Mercari | Near Mint | 28d ago |
| $525 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $472 | PWCC | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $468 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 31d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $388 | $351 | 9.5% | 3.1% | 22 | 34 |
Pikachu V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $237 | $228 | 3.8% | 12.2% | 5 | 44 |
Pikachu (Illustrator-style)Scarlet & Violet 151PSA 10Simulated
| $645 | $555 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 17 | 49 |
Umbreon Ultra RareHeartGold SoulSilverCGC 9Simulated
| $747 | $659 | 11.7% | 22.1% | 12 | 56 |
Pikachu VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsPSA 9.5Simulated
| $1,149 | $1,028 | 10.6% | 0.7% | 11 | 52 |
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
| $946 | $844 | 10.8% | 4.3% | 9 | 42 |