Greninja Ultra Rare
PSA 10SimulatedGreninja Ultra Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Ultra Rare · 27/180
Character: Greninja
Price History
Opportunity Score
27- Low active inventory+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral52Greninja Ultra Rare (PSA 10) is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+0.0%). Estimated fair value is $374 against a lowest active listing of $395. Valuation confidence is high based on 4-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 390.71 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 405.51 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 380.05 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.27 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -2.21 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $276 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 84 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $283 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 83 | 18d ago | May 31 | View |
| $283 | Mercari | Graded | 97 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $289 | PWCC | Graded | 82 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $297 | eBay | Graded | 74 | 5d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $317 | eBay | Graded | 78 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $337 | PWCC | Graded | 90 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $340 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 98 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $346 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 99 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $352 | PWCC | Graded | 70 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $361 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 99 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $369 | Mercari | Graded | 67 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $342 | PWCC | Graded | 1d ago |
| $343 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 2d ago |
| $340 | Mercari | Graded | 5d ago |
| $318 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 8d ago |
| $314 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 11d ago |
| $372 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 13d ago |
| $306 | eBay | Graded | 15d ago |
| $323 | PWCC | Graded | 19d ago |
| $391 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 19d ago |
| $360 | Mercari | Graded | 21d ago |
| $314 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 26d ago |
| $339 | eBay | Graded | 27d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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