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Greninja Ultra Rare

PSA 10Simulated

Greninja Ultra Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Ultra Rare · 27/180

Character: Greninja

high confidenceneutral5230d 0.0%
Estimated Fair Value
$374
Lowest listing $395
Bear Case
$324
Base Case
$374
Bull Case
$424

Price History

Dec 2Range $266$412May 30

Opportunity Score

27
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral52

Greninja Ultra Rare (PSA 10) is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+0.0%). Estimated fair value is $374 against a lowest active listing of $395. Valuation confidence is high based on 4-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
4
Sales / Month
9.5
Velocity Score
48/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-11.1%
Total Graded
7,530
Gem Mint
2,563
Population Growth
+4.5%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps390.7150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices405.5125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection380.0525%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.2750%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.2120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$276Facebook MarketplaceGraded8415d agoJan 1View
$283Facebook MarketplaceGraded8318d agoMay 31View
$283MercariGraded9723h agoJan 1View
$289PWCCGraded8216d agoJan 1View
$297eBayGraded745d agoJun 3View
$317eBayGraded7821d agoJan 1View
$337PWCCGraded905d agoJan 1View
$340TCGPlayerGraded985d agoJan 1View
$346TCGPlayerGraded9920d agoJan 1View
$352PWCCGraded7020d agoJan 1View
$361TCGPlayerGraded9910d agoJan 1View
$369MercariGraded6721d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$342PWCCGraded1d ago
$343TCGPlayerGraded2d ago
$340MercariGraded5d ago
$318Facebook MarketplaceGraded8d ago
$314Facebook MarketplaceGraded11d ago
$372TCGPlayerGraded13d ago
$306eBayGraded15d ago
$323PWCCGraded19d ago
$391Facebook MarketplaceGraded19d ago
$360MercariGraded21d ago
$314Facebook MarketplaceGraded26d ago
$339eBayGraded27d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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