Venusaur Secret Rare
SimulatedVenusaur Secret Rare · Evolving Skies · Secret Rare · 172/237
Character: Venusaur
Price History
Opportunity Score
54- 10% below fair value+12 pts
- Sales accelerating+10 pts
- Price up 18% over 30 days+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (19 sales/mo)+6 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish99Venusaur Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+18.3%). Estimated fair value is $234 against a lowest active listing of $211. Valuation confidence is high based on 14-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+18.3% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 214.6 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 241.9 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 220.77 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.11 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $168 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 69 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $177 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 68 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $178 | Mercari | Near Mint | 76 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $186 | eBay | Near Mint | 65 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $188 | PWCC | Near Mint | 85 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $210 | eBay | Near Mint | 79 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $213 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 72 | 17d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $214 | eBay | Near Mint | 63 | 8d ago | Jun 3 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $175 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 12h ago |
| $188 | Mercari | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $180 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $188 | PWCC | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $199 | Mercari | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $173 | Mercari | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $164 | eBay | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $160 | eBay | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $165 | Mercari | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $162 | eBay | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $181 | PWCC | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $158 | eBay | Near Mint | 15d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $225 | $216 | 4.1% | 9.1% | 8 | 29 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $513 | $429 | 16.3% | 4.5% | 4 | 55 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,516 | $1,268 | 16.4% | 28.2% | 7 | 47 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $321 | $300 | 6.6% | 11.2% | 8 | 37 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $680 | $653 | 4.0% | 14.9% | 14 | 42 |
Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
| $622 | $560 | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11 | 42 |