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Onix — Base Set — Common

Onix

Simulated

Onix · Base Set · Common · 56

Character: Onix

high confidencebullish6630d 3.0%
Estimated Fair Value
$219
Lowest listing $18714.7% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$184
Base Case
$219
Bull Case
$253

Price History

Dec 8Range $135 – $188Jun 5

Opportunity Score

48
  • 15% below fair value+17 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (13 sales/mo)+4 pts
  • Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish66

Onix is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+3.0%). Estimated fair value is $219 against a lowest active listing of $187. Valuation confidence is high based on 16-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
16
Sales / Month
13.0
Velocity Score
65/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+18.1%
Confidence
96/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-9.6%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$187
All-in cost
$216+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$747
Expected proceeds
$19530% gem → $224 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$20.79
Breakeven graded value
$826value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
2.4dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
40.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-3.0%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
15active listings
Recent sold avg
$164mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$159cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$143
Median
$170
Mean
$165
Max
$191

Showing 15 of 15 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps210.450%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices224.4125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection199.525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.6320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$159TCGPlayerNear Mint8059d agoJan 1View
$159Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6169d agoJun 9View
$160PWCCNear Mint6972d agoJun 7View
$168TCGPlayerNear Mint8375d agoJan 1View
$181PWCCNear Mint7065d agoJan 1View
$183eBayNear Mint7668d agoJan 1View
$187Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8057d agoJan 1View
$191TCGPlayerNear Mint9861d agoJan 1View
$191eBayNear Mint6361d agoJan 1View
$195PWCCNear Mint9267d agoJan 1View
$200PWCCNear Mint8159d agoJun 9View
$200eBayNear Mint6656d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$183MercariNear Mint60d ago
$170MercariNear Mint66d ago
$191PWCCNear Mint67d ago
$146eBayNear Mint69d ago
$175eBayNear Mint72d ago
$160Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint81d ago
$157TCGPlayerNear Mint83d ago
$171Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint85d ago
$143PWCCNear Mint87d ago
$148PWCCNear Mint90d ago
$148MercariNear Mint92d ago
$148eBayNear Mint95d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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