Umbreon Secret Rare
CGC 9SimulatedUmbreon Secret Rare · Evolving Skies · Secret Rare · 231/237
Character: Umbreon
Price History
Opportunity Score
49- 12% below fair value+14 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Population growth slowing+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (20 sales/mo)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+3 pts
- Price up 4% over 30 days+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish72Umbreon Secret Rare (CGC 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+3.8%). Estimated fair value is $666 against a lowest active listing of $587. Valuation confidence is high based on 18-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 649.71 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 666.11 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 668.54 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.5 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.65 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $518 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 95 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $520 | eBay | Graded | 65 | 12d ago | May 31 | View |
| $523 | Mercari | Graded | 65 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $523 | eBay | Graded | 95 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $532 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 94 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $576 | eBay | Graded | 82 | 5d ago | May 31 | View |
| $584 | PWCC | Graded | 94 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $586 | eBay | Graded | 67 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $586 | PWCC | Graded | 74 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $593 | eBay | Graded | 87 | 7d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $601 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 91 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $603 | PWCC | Graded | 91 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $570 | Mercari | Graded | 3d ago |
| $605 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 4d ago |
| $533 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 4d ago |
| $533 | eBay | Graded | 4d ago |
| $562 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 7d ago |
| $550 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 10d ago |
| $597 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 10d ago |
| $566 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 11d ago |
| $565 | Mercari | Graded | 11d ago |
| $592 | PWCC | Graded | 14d ago |
| $586 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 17d ago |
| $598 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 18d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $212 | $197 | 7.5% | 16.0% | 20 | 39 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $539 | $457 | 15.3% | 3.5% | 20 | 48 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $283 | $255 | 9.8% | 11.6% | 19 | 37 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,573 | $1,451 | 7.7% | 2.4% | 15 | 44 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $279 | $220 | 21.1% | 23.8% | 11 | 48 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $546 | $541 | 1.0% | 12.6% | 10 | 34 |