Price History
Opportunity Score
49- 16% below fair value+18 pts
- Sales accelerating+10 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish36Charizard V (Full Art) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-8.2%). Estimated fair value is $1231 against a lowest active listing of $1037. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-8.2% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 1176.03 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 1200.49 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1133.63 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.03 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,114 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 65 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,119 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 69 | 4d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $1,212 | eBay | Near Mint | 71 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,277 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 79 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,278 | PWCC | Near Mint | 94 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,299 | Mercari | Near Mint | 60 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,335 | PWCC | Near Mint | 78 | 2d ago | May 31 | View |
| $1,373 | PWCC | Near Mint | 88 | 13d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $1,377 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 72 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,393 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 63 | 22h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,417 | PWCC | Near Mint | 64 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,429 | Mercari | Near Mint | 82 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,246 | PWCC | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $1,341 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $1,306 | Mercari | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $1,157 | eBay | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $1,130 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $1,248 | Mercari | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $1,126 | eBay | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $1,125 | eBay | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $1,158 | PWCC | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $1,258 | eBay | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $1,159 | eBay | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $1,046 | Mercari | Near Mint | 25d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard GX (Shiny)Hidden FatesPSA 10Simulated
| $785 | $703 | 10.5% | 0.3% | 16 | 44 |
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $7,467 | $6,835 | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14 | 39 |
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $224 | $189 | 15.5% | 16.0% | 17 | 54 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $552 | $472 | 14.4% | 3.5% | 11 | 45 |
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
| $489 | $481 | 1.8% | 18.7% | 11 | 34 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $714 | $610 | 14.6% | 25.7% | 4 | 47 |