Gengar ex (Special Illustration)
SimulatedGengar ex (Special Illustration) · Hidden Fates · Special Illustration Rare · 23/163
Character: Gengar
Price History
Opportunity Score
47- 16% below fair value+19 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Price up 5% over 30 days+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish67Gengar ex (Special Illustration) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+4.5%). Estimated fair value is $328 against a lowest active listing of $275. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 316.59 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 304.3 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 339.19 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.86 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $299 | Mercari | Near Mint | 84 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $307 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 100 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $307 | Mercari | Near Mint | 82 | 6d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $332 | eBay | Near Mint | 87 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $334 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 83 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $335 | eBay | Near Mint | 63 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $346 | Mercari | Near Mint | 83 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $350 | PWCC | Near Mint | 63 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $355 | eBay | Near Mint | 92 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $368 | PWCC | Near Mint | 94 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $370 | Mercari | Near Mint | 76 | 21h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $370 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 87 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $303 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 12h ago |
| $253 | eBay | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $245 | Mercari | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $252 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $275 | Mercari | Near Mint | 32d ago |
| $298 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 40d ago |
| $329 | eBay | Near Mint | 47d ago |
| $322 | PWCC | Near Mint | 47d ago |
| $318 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 51d ago |
| $307 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 56d ago |
| $292 | Mercari | Near Mint | 58d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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