Sceptile
SimulatedSceptile · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Rare · 20
Character: Sceptile
Price History
Opportunity Score
40- 9% below fair value+11 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Price up 10% over 30 days+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish86Sceptile is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+10.2%). Estimated fair value is $108 against a lowest active listing of $98. Valuation confidence is high based on 14-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+10.2% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $97.98
- All-in cost
- $127+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $392
- Expected proceeds
- $10230% gem → $118 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$24.69
- Breakeven graded value
- $487value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 0.6dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 82.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -2.9%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 6active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $113mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $110cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $97.49
- Median
- $114
- Mean
- $116
- Max
- $140
Showing 38 of 38 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 105.37 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 113.41 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 110.87 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.6 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $130 | eBay | Near Mint | 55d ago |
| $137 | Mercari | Near Mint | 61d ago |
| $130 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 61d ago |
| $132 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 65d ago |
| $140 | PWCC | Near Mint | 67d ago |
| $123 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 69d ago |
| $119 | Mercari | Near Mint | 70d ago |
| $109 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 70d ago |
| $119 | eBay | Near Mint | 70d ago |
| $120 | PWCC | Near Mint | 72d ago |
| $112 | Mercari | Near Mint | 73d ago |
| $108 | PWCC | Near Mint | 75d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GoldeenEX Ruby & SapphireCGC 10Simulated
| $311 | $261 | 15.8% | 8.0% | 23 | 51 |
 SilcoonEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $140 | $127 | 8.9% | 31.7% | 21 | 53 |
 WailordEX Ruby & SapphireCGC 10Simulated
| $244 | $232 | 5.2% | 8.0% | 21 | 28 |
 SharpedoEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $139 | $145 | -3.7% | 22.8% | 3 | 43 |
 SlakingEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $169 | $150 | 11.4% | 5.4% | 5 | 41 |
 BlazikenEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $94.01 | $96.62 | -2.8% | 77.0% | 4 | 36 |