Silcoon
SimulatedSilcoon · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Uncommon · 43
Character: Silcoon
Price History
Opportunity Score
58- 13% below fair value+16 pts
- Sales accelerating+11 pts
- Price up 32% over 30 days+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (17 sales/mo)+5 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish98Silcoon is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+31.7%). Estimated fair value is $146 against a lowest active listing of $126. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+31.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $126
- All-in cost
- $155+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $504
- Expected proceeds
- $13230% gem → $151 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$23.45
- Breakeven graded value
- $594value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.8dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 82.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -5.1%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 3active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $88.87mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $84.35cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $76.45
- Median
- $88.26
- Mean
- $87.89
- Max
- $100
Showing 26 of 26 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 129.35 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 149.47 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 143.97 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.49 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $82.30 | eBay | Near Mint | 54d ago |
| $79.80 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 57d ago |
| $89.07 | PWCC | Near Mint | 59d ago |
| $99.56 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 67d ago |
| $96.78 | PWCC | Near Mint | 68d ago |
| $100 | Mercari | Near Mint | 70d ago |
| $88.80 | eBay | Near Mint | 73d ago |
| $94.11 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 73d ago |
| $96.60 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 73d ago |
| $94.23 | Mercari | Near Mint | 76d ago |
| $87.35 | PWCC | Near Mint | 76d ago |
| $76.45 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 78d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GoldeenEX Ruby & SapphireCGC 10Simulated
| $310 | $263 | 15.4% | 8.0% | 9 | 41 |
 WailordEX Ruby & SapphireCGC 10Simulated
| $242 | $226 | 6.3% | 8.0% | 13 | 35 |
 SharpedoEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $127 | $117 | 8.2% | 22.8% | 19 | 42 |
 SlakingEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $175 | $150 | 14.5% | 5.4% | 22 | 43 |
 BlazikenEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $97.90 | $94.85 | 3.1% | 77.0% | 11 | 37 |
 CombuskenEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $86.76 | $87.09 | -0.4% | 29.0% | 15 | 32 |