Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)
BGS 9SimulatedUmbreon VMAX (Alt Art) · XY Evolutions · Alt Art · 61/108
Character: Umbreon
Price History
Opportunity Score
46- 11% below fair value+13 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Population growth slowing+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+3 pts
- Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish35Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art) (BGS 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-9.1%). Estimated fair value is $925 against a lowest active listing of $819. Valuation confidence is high based on 14-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-9.1% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 931.49 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 926.94 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 878.66 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.41 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.28 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $961 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 92 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $984 | PWCC | Graded | 74 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,024 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 64 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,086 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 68 | 4d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $1,100 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 98 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,124 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 87 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,141 | Mercari | Graded | 61 | 15d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $1,158 | eBay | Graded | 64 | 10d ago | May 31 | View |
| $1,171 | eBay | Graded | 79 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,176 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 72 | 8d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $1,183 | PWCC | Graded | 61 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,186 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 65 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $953 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 4d ago |
| $998 | Mercari | Graded | 5d ago |
| $959 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 9d ago |
| $1,141 | eBay | Graded | 11d ago |
| $1,057 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 14d ago |
| $1,063 | Mercari | Graded | 29d ago |
| $1,032 | eBay | Graded | 39d ago |
| $986 | eBay | Graded | 40d ago |
| $1,041 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 42d ago |
| $1,066 | eBay | Graded | 43d ago |
| $1,055 | PWCC | Graded | 43d ago |
| $1,241 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 55d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
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