PokéAlpha
DashboardAlpha ScannerBacktestAI AnalystHunt ListsScreenersAlertsPortfolioAlpha FeedPlans & BillingData SourcesSettings

Market intelligence for Pokémon collectors & investors.

PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard
Slaking — EX Ruby & Sapphire — Rare Holo

Slaking

Simulated

Slaking · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Rare Holo · 12

Character: Slaking

high confidenceneutral5930d ▼2.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$178
Lowest listing $1723.5% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$152
Base Case
$178
Bull Case
$204

Price History

Dec 8Range $83.94 – $142Jun 5

Opportunity Score

43
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • 4% below fair value+4 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral59

Slaking is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-2.4%). Estimated fair value is $178 against a lowest active listing of $172. Valuation confidence is high based on 2-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Active Listings
2
Sales / Month
18.5
Velocity Score
93/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+17.9%
Confidence
81/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-10.7%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$172
All-in cost
$201+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$687
Expected proceeds
$17930% gem → $206 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$21.44
Breakeven graded value
$770value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
5.8dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
33.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-16.4%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
12active listings
Recent sold avg
$127mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$106cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$106
Median
$132
Mean
$130
Max
$152

Showing 10 of 10 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps172.7350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices174.625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection167.8125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.5820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$106TCGPlayerNear Mint9366d agoJan 1View
$110TCGPlayerNear Mint9273d agoJan 1View
$119MercariNear Mint7966d agoJan 1View
$119eBayNear Mint6875d agoJan 1View
$126eBayNear Mint8962d agoJun 6View
$128PWCCNear Mint9063d agoJan 1View
$128PWCCNear Mint7069d agoJan 1View
$130eBayNear Mint9355d agoJan 1View
$133PWCCNear Mint6075d agoJan 1View
$135TCGPlayerNear Mint6274d agoJan 1View
$137Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9770d agoJan 1View
$137TCGPlayerNear Mint7268d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$106TCGPlayerNear Mint57d ago
$112MercariNear Mint64d ago
$152TCGPlayerNear Mint76d ago
$137MercariNear Mint76d ago
$126eBayNear Mint82d ago
$128Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint85d ago
$121Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint93d ago
$137TCGPlayerNear Mint94d ago
$145Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint100d ago
$137Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint113d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Goldeen — EX Ruby & Sapphire — Common
GoldeenEX Ruby & SapphireCGC 10Simulated
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$312$26315.5%▼8.6%2250
Silcoon — EX Ruby & Sapphire — Uncommon
SilcoonEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Price up 33% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$139$1287.9%▲32.6%644
Wailord — EX Ruby & Sapphire — Rare Holo
WailordEX Ruby & SapphireCGC 10Simulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$253$22013.1%▲6.1%1642
Sharpedo — EX Ruby & Sapphire — Rare
SharpedoEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • 8% below fair value+10 pts
  • Price up 29% over 30 days+8 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$138$1268.2%▲29.3%1051
Blaziken — EX Ruby & Sapphire — Rare Holo
BlazikenEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Price up 66% over 30 days+8 pts
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$98.67$93.025.7%▲66.5%551
Combusken — EX Ruby & Sapphire — Uncommon
CombuskenEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Price up 14% over 30 days+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$85.75$84.471.5%▲14.0%2032
Live data not configuredNumbers are backed by a real but dated snapshot. Enable real marketplace listings for live intelligence.How to enable