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Dragonite Secret Rare

Simulated

Dragonite Secret Rare · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Secret Rare · 71/207

Character: Dragonite

high confidenceneutral5730d 1.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$363
Lowest listing $31214.2% below
Bear Case
$316
Base Case
$363
Bull Case
$411

Price History

Dec 2Range $230 – $372May 30

Opportunity Score

40
  • 14% below fair value+17 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral57

Dragonite Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-1.4%). Estimated fair value is $363 against a lowest active listing of $312. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
17
Sales / Month
14.0
Velocity Score
70/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+2.0%
Confidence
98/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps353.8550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices378.7225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection360.5625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.4120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$278PWCCNear Mint8620d agoJan 1View
$282PWCCNear Mint8511d agoJan 1View
$288eBayNear Mint643d agoJan 1View
$292eBayNear Mint9210d agoJan 1View
$304MercariNear Mint6423h agoJun 4View
$306TCGPlayerNear Mint939d agoMay 31View
$311MercariNear Mint799d agoJan 1View
$312Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9411d agoJan 1View
$314MercariNear Mint995d agoJan 1View
$316MercariNear Mint956d agoJan 1View
$318PWCCNear Mint8721d agoJan 1View
$323Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7612d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$281Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint5h ago
$281Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint2d ago
$344TCGPlayerNear Mint9d ago
$294Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9d ago
$346Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint13d ago
$326eBayNear Mint14d ago
$358Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint18d ago
$368MercariNear Mint18d ago
$342PWCCNear Mint18d ago
$387TCGPlayerNear Mint19d ago
$366Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint20d ago
$385MercariNear Mint20d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

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  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
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Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
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  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
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  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
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Pikachu (Illustrator-style)Scarlet & Violet 151PSA 10Simulated
  • 16% below fair value+19 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$620$51916.3%5.2%1543
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 16% below fair value+19 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$302$25416.0%8.4%1643