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Sharpedo — EX Ruby & Sapphire — Rare

Sharpedo

Simulated

Sharpedo · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Rare · 22

Character: Sharpedo

high confidencebullish9130d 22.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$127
Lowest listing $1214.3% below
Bear Case
$107
Base Case
$127
Bull Case
$148

Price History

Dec 8Range $52.03$101Jun 5

Opportunity Score

38
  • Price up 22% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • 4% below fair value+5 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Sales accelerating+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish91

Sharpedo is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+22.3%). Estimated fair value is $127 against a lowest active listing of $121. Valuation confidence is high based on 14-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+22.3% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
14
Sales / Month
8.5
Velocity Score
43/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+3.7%
Confidence
96/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-15.8%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$121
All-in cost
$150+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$484
Expected proceeds
$12630% gem → $145 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$23.67
Breakeven graded value
$575value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
3.2dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
86.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+15.8%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
2active listings
Recent sold avg
$73.05mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$84.57cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$65.77
Median
$79.94
Mean
$81.09
Max
$99.68

Showing 24 of 24 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps115.0850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices136.1825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection136.1125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.7420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$84.57eBayNear Mint9656d agoJun 9View
$94.93MercariNear Mint7762d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$89.09TCGPlayerNear Mint54d ago
$73.56MercariNear Mint58d ago
$75.66PWCCNear Mint59d ago
$70.06TCGPlayerNear Mint61d ago
$72.31MercariNear Mint65d ago
$70.22PWCCNear Mint69d ago
$65.77Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint70d ago
$68.53Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint71d ago
$65.92eBayNear Mint74d ago
$72.52Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint79d ago
$80.59MercariNear Mint80d ago
$72.35TCGPlayerNear Mint84d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • Reputable seller+7 pts
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