Greninja ex (Special Illustration)
CGC 9SimulatedGreninja ex (Special Illustration) · Neo Genesis · Special Illustration Rare · 67/111
Character: Greninja
Price History
Opportunity Score
32- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- 5% below fair value+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish36Greninja ex (Special Illustration) (CGC 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-9.6%). Estimated fair value is $1081 against a lowest active listing of $1024. Valuation confidence is high based on 15-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-9.6% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (5.4%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 1112.95 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 1186.28 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1051.9 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.71 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.47 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,336 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 1d ago |
| $1,353 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 2d ago |
| $1,397 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 3d ago |
| $1,326 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 4d ago |
| $1,463 | PWCC | Graded | 5d ago |
| $1,376 | PWCC | Graded | 5d ago |
| $1,311 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 6d ago |
| $1,327 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 10d ago |
| $1,274 | PWCC | Graded | 10d ago |
| $1,274 | eBay | Graded | 13d ago |
| $1,198 | eBay | Graded | 17d ago |
| $1,155 | Mercari | Graded | 23d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
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Blastoise ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
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Gardevoir PromoNeo GenesisSimulated
| $281 | $258 | 8.0% | 10.2% | 23 | 35 |