Gengar Holo Rare
SimulatedGengar Holo Rare · Evolving Skies · Holo Rare · 68/237
Character: Gengar
Price History
Opportunity Score
46- 15% below fair value+18 pts
- Sales accelerating+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral46Gengar Holo Rare is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-3.6%). Estimated fair value is $155 against a lowest active listing of $132. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 148.42 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 154.07 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 145.48 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.12 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $130 | Mercari | Near Mint | 29d ago |
| $143 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 35d ago |
| $129 | eBay | Near Mint | 37d ago |
| $135 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 37d ago |
| $137 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 43d ago |
| $133 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 51d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $239 | $238 | 0.3% | 5.1% | 14 | 23 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $589 | $519 | 11.9% | 11.3% | 20 | 48 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,575 | $1,482 | 5.9% | 4.6% | 12 | 30 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $311 | $271 | 12.8% | 0.8% | 21 | 48 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $700 | $611 | 12.8% | 11.8% | 19 | 46 |
Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
| $721 | $639 | 11.4% | 8.2% | 19 | 52 |