Lugia V (Full Art)
CGC 9SimulatedLugia V (Full Art) · XY Evolutions · Full Art · 16/108
Character: Lugia
Price History
Opportunity Score
48- 14% below fair value+16 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+3 pts
- Low active inventory+3 pts
- Strong demand (9 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Population growth slowing+3 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral49Lugia V (Full Art) (CGC 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-1.5%). Estimated fair value is $364 against a lowest active listing of $313. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 358.13 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 361.85 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 379.22 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.69 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.59 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $277 | PWCC | Graded | 6h ago |
| $279 | eBay | Graded | 16h ago |
| $283 | PWCC | Graded | 1d ago |
| $293 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 4d ago |
| $280 | Mercari | Graded | 9d ago |
| $245 | PWCC | Graded | 13d ago |
| $260 | Mercari | Graded | 15d ago |
| $278 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 16d ago |
| $295 | PWCC | Graded | 17d ago |
| $285 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 20d ago |
| $311 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 20d ago |
| $304 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 27d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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