PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard

Dragonite VMAX (Alt Art)

Simulated

Dragonite VMAX (Alt Art) · HeartGold SoulSilver · Alt Art · 58/123

Character: Dragonite

high confidencebullish6230d 0.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$423
Lowest listing $37112.3% below
Bear Case
$367
Base Case
$423
Bull Case
$478

Price History

Dec 2Range $339 – $508May 30

Opportunity Score

38
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish62

Dragonite VMAX (Alt Art) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-0.1%). Estimated fair value is $423 against a lowest active listing of $371. Valuation confidence is high based on 23-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
23
Sales / Month
16.0
Velocity Score
80/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+1.4%
Confidence
98/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps414.4350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices438.6625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection419.4925%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.2820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$437TCGPlayerNear Mint6516d agoJan 1View
$463Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6612d agoJan 1View
$465MercariNear Mint8521d agoJan 1View
$480TCGPlayerNear Mint7213d agoJun 3View
$483PWCCNear Mint8117d agoJan 1View
$490PWCCNear Mint743d agoJun 2View
$491Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint654d agoJan 1View
$496MercariNear Mint992d agoJan 1View
$515eBayNear Mint9817d agoJan 1View
$518Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9211d agoJun 2View
$526Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8511d agoJan 1View
$526Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint803d agoMay 31View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$434eBayNear Mint7d ago
$485TCGPlayerNear Mint11d ago
$452MercariNear Mint12d ago
$503MercariNear Mint15d ago
$439MercariNear Mint23d ago
$400TCGPlayerNear Mint32d ago
$435MercariNear Mint35d ago
$470Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint38d ago
$509Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint42d ago
$458MercariNear Mint42d ago
$415MercariNear Mint50d ago
$443PWCCNear Mint52d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 8% below fair value+10 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$401$3678.4%5.6%837
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 20% below fair value+24 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$438$34920.3%8.6%1154
Umbreon Ultra RareHeartGold SoulSilverCGC 9Simulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$682$6297.7%18.0%342
Gengar Secret RareHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
  • 9% below fair value+10 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • Population growth slowing+7 pts
$721$6598.5%6.1%2150
Pikachu ex (Special Illustration)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 21% below fair value+25 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$704$55521.2%20.6%1356
Gengar ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverBGS 10Simulated
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
$708$61213.6%2.5%2054