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Rayquaza Promo

Simulated

Rayquaza Promo · Neo Genesis · Promo · 15/111

Character: Rayquaza

medium confidencebearish2730d 11.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$552
Lowest listing $47414.2% below
Bear Case
$461
Base Case
$552
Bull Case
$640

Price History

Dec 2Range $389 – $697May 30

Opportunity Score

35
  • 14% below fair value+17 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts
  • Sales accelerating+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish27

Rayquaza Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-11.5%). Estimated fair value is $552 against a lowest active listing of $474. Valuation confidence is medium based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-11.5% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
21
Sales / Month
3.0
Velocity Score
15/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+6.6%
Confidence
60/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps566.8650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices553.4825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection491.7725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.3220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$584PWCCNear Mint712d agoJan 1View
$598Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint966d agoJan 1View
$606Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9415d agoJun 4View
$606eBayNear Mint783d agoJan 1View
$667eBayNear Mint725d agoJan 1View
$679Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint972d agoJan 1View
$684Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint816d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$551eBayNear Mint1d ago
$692TCGPlayerNear Mint11d ago
$723PWCCNear Mint14d ago
$633PWCCNear Mint19d ago
$650MercariNear Mint24d ago
$615TCGPlayerNear Mint29d ago
$580TCGPlayerNear Mint31d ago
$556eBayNear Mint32d ago
$549TCGPlayerNear Mint32d ago
$538PWCCNear Mint34d ago
$605PWCCNear Mint35d ago
$556MercariNear Mint38d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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