Blastoise-EX
SimulatedBlastoise-EX · XY Evolutions · Rare Holo EX · 21
Character: Blastoise
Price History
Opportunity Score
35- 7% below fair value+8 pts
- Price up 18% over 30 days+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish90Blastoise-EX is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+17.8%). Estimated fair value is $1271 against a lowest active listing of $1183. Valuation confidence is high based on 15-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+17.8% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $1,183
- All-in cost
- $1,212+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $4,733
- Expected proceeds
- $1,23530% gem → $1,420 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- $23.06
- Breakeven graded value
- $4,645value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.6dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 34.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -8.9%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 23active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $253mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $230cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $222
- Median
- $255
- Mean
- $253
- Max
- $283
Showing 19 of 19 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 1224.31 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 1363.26 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1328.73 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.08 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $230 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 93 | 61d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $234 | eBay | Near Mint | 88 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $236 | Mercari | Near Mint | 69 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $238 | Mercari | Near Mint | 71 | 67d ago | Jun 7 | View |
| $241 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 67 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $245 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 77 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $251 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 92 | 63d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $254 | Mercari | Near Mint | 95 | 58d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $254 | eBay | Near Mint | 93 | 75d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $257 | Mercari | Near Mint | 82 | 56d ago | Jun 6 | View |
| $261 | Mercari | Near Mint | 94 | 71d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $265 | PWCC | Near Mint | 62 | 64d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $255 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 62d ago |
| $241 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 69d ago |
| $269 | eBay | Near Mint | 69d ago |
| $283 | PWCC | Near Mint | 71d ago |
| $251 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 74d ago |
| $241 | eBay | Near Mint | 76d ago |
| $243 | PWCC | Near Mint | 78d ago |
| $223 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 79d ago |
| $270 | eBay | Near Mint | 82d ago |
| $235 | Mercari | Near Mint | 86d ago |
| $267 | Mercari | Near Mint | 87d ago |
| $259 | eBay | Near Mint | 88d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CharizardXY EvolutionsBGS 9.5Simulated
| $66,144 | $62,109 | 6.1% | 17.1% | 15 | 42 |
 Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,811 | $2,227 | 20.8% | 6.3% | 18 | 53 |
 MewtwoXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,142 | $2,056 | 4.0% | 16.4% | 3 | 35 |
Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsBGS 9.5Simulated
| $3,628 | $2,935 | 19.1% | 13.2% | 23 | 71 |
 Blastoise exScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $551 | $502 | 8.8% | 25.8% | 8 | 36 |
 BlastoiseBase SetPSA 10Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $229 · sales-derived, ungradedView $149 · TCGPlayer
| $2,452 | $1,755 | 28.4% | 18.7% | 1 | 76 |