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Dragonite Promo

Simulated

Dragonite Promo · Neo Genesis · Promo · 30/111

Character: Dragonite

high confidenceneutral5830d 1.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$339
Lowest listing $28516.1% below
Bear Case
$292
Base Case
$339
Bull Case
$386

Price History

Dec 2Range $225 – $432May 30

Opportunity Score

39
  • 16% below fair value+19 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+2 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral58

Dragonite Promo is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+1.5%). Estimated fair value is $339 against a lowest active listing of $285. Valuation confidence is high based on 9-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
9
Sales / Month
6.0
Velocity Score
30/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+4.9%
Confidence
83/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps344.150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices326.1525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection329.9225%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.9820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$302eBayNear Mint7415d agoJan 1View
$310eBayNear Mint9518d agoJan 1View
$311Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6817d agoJan 1View
$317TCGPlayerNear Mint8815d agoJan 1View
$318eBayNear Mint9116d agoJan 1View
$325eBayNear Mint6820d agoJan 1View
$327MercariNear Mint7623h agoJan 1View
$330PWCCNear Mint7710d agoMay 31View
$333eBayNear Mint7113d agoJan 1View
$362PWCCNear Mint926d agoJan 1View
$366Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7413d agoJan 1View
$382TCGPlayerNear Mint734d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$362eBayNear Mint8d ago
$337PWCCNear Mint14d ago
$399Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint17d ago
$360Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint19d ago
$386PWCCNear Mint26d ago
$323TCGPlayerNear Mint34d ago
$316Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint36d ago
$349TCGPlayerNear Mint38d ago
$304TCGPlayerNear Mint48d ago
$296TCGPlayerNear Mint49d ago
$245TCGPlayerNear Mint59d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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