Price History
Opportunity Score
35- Low active inventory+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (20 sales/mo)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- 4% below fair value+5 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish30Mewtwo is currently fairly valued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-16.4%). Estimated fair value is $2142 against a lowest active listing of $2056. Valuation confidence is high based on 3-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-16.4% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $2,056
- All-in cost
- $2,085+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $8,225
- Expected proceeds
- $2,14730% gem → $2,467 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- $61.47
- Breakeven graded value
- $7,989value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.9dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 41.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -24.5%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 16active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $215mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $162cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $189
- Median
- $216
- Mean
- $214
- Max
- $240
Showing 16 of 16 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 2221.71 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 2201.57 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 2066.27 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.66 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $162 | PWCC | Near Mint | 99 | 58d ago | Jun 6 | View |
| $162 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 65 | 66d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $163 | Mercari | Near Mint | 62 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $166 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 93 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $171 | Mercari | Near Mint | 73 | 58d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $171 | Mercari | Near Mint | 76 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $174 | Mercari | Near Mint | 87 | 71d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $175 | Mercari | Near Mint | 84 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $187 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 64 | 58d ago | Jun 10 | View |
| $198 | eBay | Near Mint | 94 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $198 | PWCC | Near Mint | 78 | 68d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $201 | Mercari | Near Mint | 91 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $201 | PWCC | Near Mint | 58d ago |
| $189 | PWCC | Near Mint | 60d ago |
| $226 | eBay | Near Mint | 61d ago |
| $203 | Mercari | Near Mint | 62d ago |
| $240 | PWCC | Near Mint | 67d ago |
| $238 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 68d ago |
| $206 | Mercari | Near Mint | 72d ago |
| $197 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 73d ago |
| $216 | Mercari | Near Mint | 79d ago |
| $222 | PWCC | Near Mint | 85d ago |
| $227 | Mercari | Near Mint | 86d ago |
| $210 | PWCC | Near Mint | 91d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,811 | $2,227 | 20.8% | 6.3% | 18 | 53 |
Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsBGS 9.5Simulated
| $3,628 | $2,935 | 19.1% | 13.2% | 23 | 71 |
 Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $1,271 | $1,183 | 6.9% | 17.8% | 15 | 35 |
Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $326 | $293 | 10.1% | 16.3% | 16 | 46 |