Greninja Ultra Rare
SimulatedGreninja Ultra Rare · Hidden Fates · Ultra Rare · 123/163
Character: Greninja
Price History
Opportunity Score
28- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Low active inventory+5 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
- 1% below fair value+1 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral60Greninja Ultra Rare is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+1.3%). Estimated fair value is $124 against a lowest active listing of $122. Valuation confidence is high based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 125.03 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 128.48 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 126.5 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.97 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $144 | eBay | Near Mint | 83 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $149 | eBay | Near Mint | 88 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $154 | eBay | Near Mint | 82 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $155 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 95 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $156 | PWCC | Near Mint | 63 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $156 | Mercari | Near Mint | 70 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $156 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 94 | 1d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $160 | eBay | Near Mint | 68 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $161 | eBay | Near Mint | 77 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $164 | Mercari | Near Mint | 94 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $171 | PWCC | Near Mint | 91 | 1d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $171 | PWCC | Near Mint | 66 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $170 | Mercari | Near Mint | 11h ago |
| $145 | Mercari | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $164 | PWCC | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $145 | PWCC | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $145 | Mercari | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $168 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $155 | eBay | Near Mint | 25d ago |
| $141 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 26d ago |
| $144 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 31d ago |
| $146 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 32d ago |
| $155 | PWCC | Near Mint | 33d ago |
| $160 | PWCC | Near Mint | 40d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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