Mewtwo-EX
BGS 9.5SimulatedMewtwo-EX · XY Evolutions · Rare Holo EX · 52
Character: Mewtwo
Price History
Opportunity Score
38- Price up 19% over 30 days+8 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- 4% below fair value+5 pts
- Population growth slowing+4 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
- Strong demand (5 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish86Mewtwo-EX (BGS 9.5) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+19.1%). Estimated fair value is $3154 against a lowest active listing of $3032. Valuation confidence is high based on 15-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+19.1% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growing 5.1%/mo — supply expanding quickly across 3160 graded.
3,160 graded · 49% gem · +5.1%/mo
- Raw cost
- $3,032
- All-in cost
- $3,061+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $3,154
- Expected proceeds
- $82330% gem → $946 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$2,237.55
- Breakeven graded value
- $11,727value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of BGS 9.5 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.3dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 81.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- +0.4%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 5active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $389mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $391cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $354
- Median
- $399
- Mean
- $401
- Max
- $479
Showing 32 of 32 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 2942.21 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 3342.32 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 3304.27 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.15 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.85 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $442 | PWCC | Graded | 56d ago |
| $421 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 60d ago |
| $390 | Mercari | Graded | 65d ago |
| $364 | eBay | Graded | 69d ago |
| $407 | Mercari | Graded | 70d ago |
| $365 | eBay | Graded | 71d ago |
| $403 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 72d ago |
| $373 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 74d ago |
| $367 | eBay | Graded | 76d ago |
| $354 | eBay | Graded | 79d ago |
| $390 | Mercari | Graded | 80d ago |
| $409 | PWCC | Graded | 80d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CharizardXY EvolutionsBGS 9.5Simulated
| $65,660 | $60,132 | 8.4% | 16.7% | 11 | 56 |
 Mewtwo (Base)Base SetPSA 9Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $77.61 · sales-derived, ungradedView $32.99 · TCGPlayer
| $145 | $74.23 | 48.8% | 1.9% | 1 | 67 |
Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,846 | $3,249 | -14.2% | 14.2% | 2 | 35 |
 MewtwoXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,371 | $2,093 | 11.7% | 36.8% | 11 | 45 |
 Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $1,169 | $1,074 | 8.2% | 6.4% | 10 | 35 |
Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $313 | $269 | 14.0% | 16.0% | 8 | 50 |