Dragonite Secret Rare
SimulatedDragonite Secret Rare · Evolving Skies · Secret Rare · 55/237
Character: Dragonite
Price History
Opportunity Score
41- 14% below fair value+16 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Price up 7% over 30 days+3 pts
- Sales accelerating+3 pts
- Strong demand (5 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish70Dragonite Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.4%). Estimated fair value is $190 against a lowest active listing of $164. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+7.4% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 183.35 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 193.86 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 188.27 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.26 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $199 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $222 | eBay | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $233 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $223 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $241 | Mercari | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $221 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 32d ago |
| $204 | eBay | Near Mint | 41d ago |
| $194 | PWCC | Near Mint | 42d ago |
| $208 | Mercari | Near Mint | 47d ago |
| $231 | eBay | Near Mint | 52d ago |
| $206 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 53d ago |
| $207 | Mercari | Near Mint | 58d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $239 | $238 | 0.3% | 5.1% | 14 | 23 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $589 | $519 | 11.9% | 11.3% | 20 | 48 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,575 | $1,482 | 5.9% | 4.6% | 12 | 30 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $311 | $271 | 12.8% | 0.8% | 21 | 48 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $700 | $611 | 12.8% | 11.8% | 19 | 46 |
Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
| $721 | $639 | 11.4% | 8.2% | 19 | 52 |