Blastoise-EX
SimulatedBlastoise-EX · XY Evolutions · Rare Holo EX · 21
Character: Blastoise
Price History
Opportunity Score
41- 8% below fair value+10 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Price up 16% over 30 days+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (17 sales/mo)+5 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish98Blastoise-EX is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+16.3%). Estimated fair value is $306 against a lowest active listing of $281. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+16.3% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $281
- All-in cost
- $310+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $1,123
- Expected proceeds
- $29330% gem → $337 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$16.65
- Breakeven graded value
- $1,186value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 0.9dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 69.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -6.5%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 9active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $136mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $127cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $122
- Median
- $133
- Mean
- $136
- Max
- $153
Showing 32 of 35 sales · 3 outliers trimmed
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 297.62 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 325.49 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 323.6 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.54 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $127 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 90 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $130 | PWCC | Near Mint | 94 | 66d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $130 | eBay | Near Mint | 73 | 75d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $130 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 79 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $134 | PWCC | Near Mint | 75 | 60d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $137 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 72 | 70d ago | Jun 6 | View |
| $138 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 68 | 56d ago | Jun 10 | View |
| $141 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 85 | 57d ago | Jun 7 | View |
| $154 | PWCC | Near Mint | 72 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $132 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 55d ago |
| $122 | Mercari | Near Mint | 59d ago |
| $105 | eBay | Near Mint | 60d ago |
| $131 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 60d ago |
| $126 | PWCC | Near Mint | 61d ago |
| $127 | Mercari | Near Mint | 65d ago |
| $128 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 68d ago |
| $171 | PWCC | Near Mint | 75d ago |
| $153 | eBay | Near Mint | 77d ago |
| $151 | eBay | Near Mint | 77d ago |
| $163 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 78d ago |
| $133 | eBay | Near Mint | 81d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CharizardXY EvolutionsBGS 9.5Simulated
| $65,784 | $63,238 | 3.9% | 17.1% | 11 | 38 |
 Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,804 | $2,283 | 18.6% | 6.3% | 7 | 53 |
 MewtwoXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,197 | $2,134 | 2.9% | 16.4% | 2 | 35 |
Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsBGS 9.5Simulated
| $3,501 | $2,948 | 15.8% | 13.2% | 4 | 61 |
 Blastoise exScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $544 | $534 | 1.8% | 25.8% | 4 | 28 |
 BlastoiseBase SetPSA 10Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $229 · sales-derived, ungradedView $149 · TCGPlayer
| $2,491 | $1,755 | 29.6% | 18.7% | 1 | 81 |