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Dragonite Holo Rare

Simulated

Dragonite Holo Rare · Base Set · Holo Rare · 14/102

Character: Dragonite

high confidencebullish6230d 0.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$311
Lowest listing $26315.6% below
Bear Case
$266
Base Case
$311
Bull Case
$354

Price History

Dec 2Range $225 – $352May 30

Opportunity Score

46
  • 16% below fair value+18 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish62

Dragonite Holo Rare is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-0.9%). Estimated fair value is $311 against a lowest active listing of $263. Valuation confidence is high based on 23-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
23
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+4.6%
Confidence
97/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps314.6650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices307.8225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection295.1225%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.9220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$262PWCCNear Mint9311d agoJan 1View
$262TCGPlayerNear Mint812d agoJun 2View
$266MercariNear Mint8617d agoJan 1View
$271MercariNear Mint914d agoJan 1View
$277TCGPlayerNear Mint972d agoJan 1View
$278TCGPlayerNear Mint9321d agoJan 1View
$281PWCCNear Mint682d agoJan 1View
$289Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint618d agoJan 1View
$289PWCCNear Mint8417d agoJan 1View
$290PWCCNear Mint847d agoJan 1View
$307PWCCNear Mint8120d agoJun 3View
$310TCGPlayerNear Mint9912d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$298eBayNear Mint2h ago
$248PWCCNear Mint3d ago
$252eBayNear Mint5d ago
$283PWCCNear Mint6d ago
$266eBayNear Mint7d ago
$285PWCCNear Mint7d ago
$284Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint13d ago
$303MercariNear Mint16d ago
$263PWCCNear Mint18d ago
$284MercariNear Mint21d ago
$283MercariNear Mint21d ago
$254eBayNear Mint24d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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