PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard

Mewtwo Promo

Simulated

Mewtwo Promo · HeartGold SoulSilver · Promo · 9/123

Character: Mewtwo

high confidencebullish9530d 17.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$265
Lowest listing $2495.8% below
Bear Case
$219
Base Case
$265
Bull Case
$313

Price History

Dec 2Range $233$416May 30

Opportunity Score

49
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Price up 17% over 30 days+7 pts
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish95

Mewtwo Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+17.4%). Estimated fair value is $265 against a lowest active listing of $249. Valuation confidence is high based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+17.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
13.5
Velocity Score
68/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+24.8%
Confidence
87/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps227.6350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices284.3425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection268.7825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)4.9620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$308eBayNear Mint8720d agoJan 1View
$324eBayNear Mint9513d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$337PWCCNear Mint20d ago
$317Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint24d ago
$317PWCCNear Mint25d ago
$301PWCCNear Mint25d ago
$328Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint26d ago
$296PWCCNear Mint30d ago
$280PWCCNear Mint33d ago
$265Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint37d ago
$234Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint48d ago
$254eBayNear Mint51d ago
$245Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint55d ago
$239Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint55d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$412$35813.2%4.5%2352
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 15% below fair value+17 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$435$37114.9%7.0%1442
Umbreon Ultra RareHeartGold SoulSilverCGC 9Simulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$649$57311.8%17.3%939
Mewtwo Secret RareHidden FatesSimulated
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
$438$4164.9%13.9%448
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$2,022$1,9026.0%9.3%2135
Mewtwo V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 19% below fair value+22 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$444$36018.8%5.6%947