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Venusaur VMAX (Alt Art)

Simulated

Venusaur VMAX (Alt Art) · Crown Zenith · Alt Art · 126/159

Character: Venusaur

high confidencebearish3730d 11.2%
Estimated Fair Value
$232
Lowest listing $19217.1% below
Bear Case
$200
Base Case
$232
Bull Case
$264

Price History

Dec 2Range $160$314May 30

Opportunity Score

51
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+3 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish37

Venusaur VMAX (Alt Art) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-11.2%). Estimated fair value is $232 against a lowest active listing of $192. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-11.2% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
16.0
Velocity Score
80/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+7.6%
Confidence
92/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps236.2550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices218.1625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection223.6425%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.5220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$194TCGPlayerNear Mint784d agoJan 1View
$196Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint964d agoJan 1View
$200MercariNear Mint6717d agoJan 1View
$203MercariNear Mint8220d agoJan 1View
$203eBayNear Mint662d agoJan 1View
$234Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9512d agoJan 1View
$235eBayNear Mint7615d agoJun 1View
$236eBayNear Mint728d agoJun 1View
$247TCGPlayerNear Mint7220d agoJan 1View
$247TCGPlayerNear Mint864d agoJan 1View
$248TCGPlayerNear Mint792d agoJan 1View
$252eBayNear Mint9823h agoMay 31View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$211MercariNear Mint12h ago
$227Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint16h ago
$228eBayNear Mint3d ago
$232MercariNear Mint8d ago
$184Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint24d ago
$182TCGPlayerNear Mint28d ago
$175TCGPlayerNear Mint32d ago
$186TCGPlayerNear Mint33d ago
$176MercariNear Mint40d ago
$176PWCCNear Mint54d ago
$192eBayNear Mint55d ago
$181Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint56d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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