Vulpix
SimulatedVulpix · XY Evolutions · Common · 14
Character: Vulpix
Price History
Opportunity Score
43- 12% below fair value+14 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+5 pts
- Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
- Price up 4% over 30 days+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish69Vulpix is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+4.3%). Estimated fair value is $74 against a lowest active listing of $65. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $64.66
- All-in cost
- $93.66+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $259
- Expected proceeds
- $67.5130% gem → $77.59 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$26.15
- Breakeven graded value
- $359value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.2dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 91.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -5.3%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 2active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $76.49mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $72.42cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $53.76
- Median
- $70.05
- Mean
- $71.42
- Max
- $88.53
Showing 30 of 30 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 70.38 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 72.02 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 74.44 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.54 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $76.64 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 60d ago |
| $76.18 | Mercari | Near Mint | 62d ago |
| $87.24 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 66d ago |
| $78.36 | eBay | Near Mint | 66d ago |
| $88.53 | Mercari | Near Mint | 66d ago |
| $82.30 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 68d ago |
| $81.71 | eBay | Near Mint | 69d ago |
| $85.71 | eBay | Near Mint | 70d ago |
| $87.10 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 71d ago |
| $84.01 | Mercari | Near Mint | 74d ago |
| $76.60 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 75d ago |
| $76.48 | eBay | Near Mint | 75d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| $72,258 | $59,110 | 18.2% | 5.5% | 23 | 62 |
 Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
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 MewtwoXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,219 | $1,995 | 10.1% | 10.2% | 23 | 35 |
Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsBGS 9.5Simulated
| $2,884 | $2,317 | 19.7% | 22.5% | 7 | 58 |
 Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $1,072 | $894 | 16.6% | 22.9% | 11 | 46 |
Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $359 | $349 | 2.8% | 26.1% | 9 | 31 |