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Greninja Promo

Simulated

Greninja Promo · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Promo · 19/109

Character: Greninja

high confidencebearish2030d 15.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$119
Lowest listing $10114.5% below
Bear Case
$101
Base Case
$119
Bull Case
$136

Price History

Dec 2Range $91.49 – $154May 30

Opportunity Score

41
  • 15% below fair value+17 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
  • Sales accelerating+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish20

Greninja Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-15.5%). Estimated fair value is $119 against a lowest active listing of $101. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-15.5% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
6.0
Velocity Score
30/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+3.0%
Confidence
79/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps123.7350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices116.1225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection107.9225%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$126PWCCNear Mint964d agoJan 1View
$129eBayNear Mint963d agoJan 1View
$132Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9214d agoJan 1View
$133Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint719d agoJan 1View
$133Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7318d agoJun 2View
$138TCGPlayerNear Mint6216d agoJan 1View
$140MercariNear Mint7121d agoJan 1View
$145Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint684d agoJan 1View
$145eBayNear Mint10010d agoJan 1View
$148MercariNear Mint837d agoJan 1View
$149Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6521d agoJan 1View
$151TCGPlayerNear Mint913d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$140TCGPlayerNear Mint1d ago
$138TCGPlayerNear Mint4d ago
$147eBayNear Mint6d ago
$150eBayNear Mint8d ago
$133Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint20d ago
$135eBayNear Mint21d ago
$114eBayNear Mint29d ago
$99.55eBayNear Mint39d ago
$100eBayNear Mint46d ago
$113eBayNear Mint51d ago
$115PWCCNear Mint51d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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