Flaaffy
SimulatedFlaaffy · HeartGold SoulSilver · Uncommon · 42
Character: Flaaffy
Price History
Opportunity Score
35- 6% below fair value+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Price up 8% over 30 days+3 pts
- Sales accelerating+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish82Flaaffy is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+8.4%). Estimated fair value is $44 against a lowest active listing of $41. Valuation confidence is high based on 12-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+8.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $41.40
- All-in cost
- $70.40+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $166
- Expected proceeds
- $43.2230% gem → $49.68 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$27.18
- Breakeven graded value
- $270value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.1dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 80.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -3.6%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 5active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $106mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $102cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $70.76
- Median
- $97.70
- Mean
- $95.97
- Max
- $126
Showing 32 of 32 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 43.42 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 46.65 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 40.99 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.85 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $109 | Mercari | Near Mint | 54d ago |
| $126 | PWCC | Near Mint | 57d ago |
| $107 | eBay | Near Mint | 63d ago |
| $109 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 66d ago |
| $106 | Mercari | Near Mint | 66d ago |
| $117 | PWCC | Near Mint | 67d ago |
| $106 | eBay | Near Mint | 70d ago |
| $119 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 72d ago |
| $117 | eBay | Near Mint | 75d ago |
| $96.98 | Mercari | Near Mint | 80d ago |
| $103 | Mercari | Near Mint | 81d ago |
| $98.19 | Mercari | Near Mint | 82d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HeracrossHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $173 | $157 | 9.3% | 0.2% | 22 | 35 |
 LaprasHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $181 | $168 | 7.0% | 4.4% | 19 | 35 |
 AzumarillHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $119 | $114 | 3.6% | 22.0% | 6 | 39 |
 ChanseyHeartGold SoulSilverPSA 10Simulated
| $280 | $237 | 15.0% | 0.3% | 8 | 51 |
FlaaffyHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
| $133 | $103 | 22.4% | 33.9% | 21 | 54 |
 ClefairyHeartGold SoulSilverPSA 9Simulated
| $119 | $119 | 0.3% | 2.8% | 6 | 28 |