Mewtwo ex (Special Illustration)
SimulatedMewtwo ex (Special Illustration) · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Special Illustration Rare · 171/207
Character: Mewtwo
Price History
Opportunity Score
38- Price up 29% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- Low active inventory+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- 3% below fair value+3 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish90Mewtwo ex (Special Illustration) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+29.4%). Estimated fair value is $494 against a lowest active listing of $480. Valuation confidence is high based on 3-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+29.4% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 444.82 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 561.24 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 516.97 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.4 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $356 | Mercari | Near Mint | 71 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $359 | eBay | Near Mint | 91 | 21d ago | May 31 | View |
| $362 | eBay | Near Mint | 67 | 4d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $366 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 70 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $382 | PWCC | Near Mint | 63 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $388 | Mercari | Near Mint | 89 | 17d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $389 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 90 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $394 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 68 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $406 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 81 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $438 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 98 | 3d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $444 | eBay | Near Mint | 99 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $386 | Mercari | Near Mint | 1h ago |
| $455 | Mercari | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $415 | PWCC | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $365 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $362 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $300 | Mercari | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $316 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $301 | PWCC | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $290 | PWCC | Near Mint | 24d ago |
| $303 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 27d ago |
| $319 | PWCC | Near Mint | 29d ago |
| $332 | PWCC | Near Mint | 38d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $780 | $860 | -10.2% | 30.6% | 3 | 49 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $302 | $301 | 0.4% | 13.9% | 7 | 32 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $486 | $419 | 13.8% | 14.5% | 21 | 40 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $268 | $255 | 5.2% | 14.3% | 17 | 33 |
Pikachu (Illustrator-style)Scarlet & Violet 151PSA 10Simulated
| $606 | $529 | 12.8% | 5.2% | 9 | 40 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $298 | $256 | 14.0% | 8.4% | 23 | 51 |