Espeon Holo Rare
SimulatedEspeon Holo Rare · Neo Genesis · Holo Rare · 79/111
Character: Espeon
Price History
Opportunity Score
36- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- 5% below fair value+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+6 pts
- Price up 8% over 30 days+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish82Espeon Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+8.4%). Estimated fair value is $398 against a lowest active listing of $377. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+8.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 391.4 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 433.41 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 389.31 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.93 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $387 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 1d ago |
| $369 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $395 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $358 | Mercari | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $386 | Mercari | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $431 | PWCC | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $391 | eBay | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $404 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $414 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $389 | eBay | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $426 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $398 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 10d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lugia (Neo Genesis)Neo GenesisPSA 9Simulated
| $1,348 | $1,039 | 22.9% | 31.4% | 13 | 58 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $1,518 | $1,386 | 8.7% | 13.6% | 4 | 49 |
Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $1,024 | $832 | 18.8% | 17.7% | 18 | 54 |
Rayquaza PromoNeo GenesisSimulated
| $541 | $449 | 17.0% | 21.8% | 16 | 46 |
Espeon Holo RareFossilSimulated
| $489 | $436 | 10.9% | 2.0% | 7 | 48 |
Espeon ex (Special Illustration)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
| $283 | $244 | 13.7% | 3.2% | 20 | 40 |