Flaaffy
BGS 9SimulatedFlaaffy · HeartGold SoulSilver · Uncommon · 42
Character: Flaaffy
Price History
Opportunity Score
36- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- 5% below fair value+5 pts
- Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Price up 12% over 30 days+5 pts
- Population growth slowing+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish84Flaaffy (BGS 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+11.9%). Estimated fair value is $192 against a lowest active listing of $183. Valuation confidence is high based on 15-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+11.9% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growing 2.5%/mo — steady supply across 2939 graded.
2,939 graded · 45% gem · +2.5%/mo
- Raw cost
- $183
- All-in cost
- $212+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $192
- Expected proceeds
- $50.1730% gem → $57.66 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$162.17
- Breakeven graded value
- $814value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of BGS 9 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 4.9dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 26.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- +0.6%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 14active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $160mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $161cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $99.65
- Median
- $146
- Mean
- $142
- Max
- $184
Showing 9 of 9 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 188.68 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 211.38 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 195.42 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.82 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.14 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $161 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 62 | 71d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $162 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 79 | 72d ago | Jun 7 | View |
| $164 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 68 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $165 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 90 | 74d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $167 | Mercari | Graded | 70 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $169 | PWCC | Graded | 82 | 59d ago | Jun 6 | View |
| $171 | eBay | Graded | 68 | 64d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $182 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 71 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $186 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 87 | 62d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $191 | eBay | Graded | 85 | 62d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $192 | PWCC | Graded | 66 | 66d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $196 | eBay | Graded | 96 | 61d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $184 | Mercari | Graded | 55d ago |
| $169 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 58d ago |
| $146 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 65d ago |
| $147 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 73d ago |
| $156 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 74d ago |
| $99.65 | eBay | Graded | 91d ago |
| $121 | PWCC | Graded | 91d ago |
| $114 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 108d ago |
| $143 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 112d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
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