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Espeon Promo

Simulated

Espeon Promo · XY Evolutions · Promo · 30/108

Character: Espeon

high confidenceneutral4730d 8.0%
Estimated Fair Value
$261
Lowest listing $22115.1% below
Bear Case
$226
Base Case
$261
Bull Case
$296

Price History

Dec 2Range $166 – $273May 30

Opportunity Score

43
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (20 sales/mo)+6 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral47

Espeon Promo is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-8.0%). Estimated fair value is $261 against a lowest active listing of $221. Valuation confidence is high based on 15-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: softening prices (-8.0% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
15
Sales / Month
19.5
Velocity Score
98/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+0.1%
Confidence
98/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps262.1850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices249.9125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection269.1125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.0320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$244PWCCNear Mint6311d agoJan 1View
$245PWCCNear Mint6513d agoJun 1View
$248MercariNear Mint9921d agoJan 1View
$249Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7623h agoJan 1View
$255TCGPlayerNear Mint892d agoJan 1View
$255TCGPlayerNear Mint6521d agoJan 1View
$259Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint717d agoJan 1View
$275eBayNear Mint772d agoJun 2View
$276PWCCNear Mint9010d agoJan 1View
$281PWCCNear Mint6113d agoJan 1View
$296PWCCNear Mint683d agoJan 1View
$300TCGPlayerNear Mint7112d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$268MercariNear Mint14d ago
$181PWCCNear Mint25d ago
$188MercariNear Mint25d ago
$187PWCCNear Mint29d ago
$173MercariNear Mint35d ago
$173MercariNear Mint38d ago
$184Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint39d ago
$199eBayNear Mint49d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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