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Gardevoir Ultra Rare

Simulated

Gardevoir Ultra Rare · Fossil · Ultra Rare · 23/62

Character: Gardevoir

high confidencebearish3430d 10.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$648
Lowest listing $51021.3% below
Bear Case
$551
Base Case
$648
Bull Case
$742

Price History

Dec 2Range $672$913May 30

Opportunity Score

55
  • 21% below fair value+25 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish34

Gardevoir Ultra Rare is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-10.7%). Estimated fair value is $648 against a lowest active listing of $510. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-10.7% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
22
Sales / Month
9.5
Velocity Score
48/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+21.7%
Confidence
97/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps646.9650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices578.2825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection611.1125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)4.3420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$683MercariNear Mint879d agoJan 1View
$690eBayNear Mint6211d agoJan 1View
$692Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint664d agoJan 1View
$724eBayNear Mint6312d agoJan 1View
$750Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint679d agoJan 1View
$753eBayNear Mint9317d agoJan 1View
$768PWCCNear Mint959d agoJan 1View
$775TCGPlayerNear Mint9916d agoMay 31View
$782PWCCNear Mint609d agoJan 1View
$786PWCCNear Mint7413d agoJan 1View
$792TCGPlayerNear Mint10019d agoJan 1View
$826Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint694d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$835PWCCNear Mint8d ago
$803Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8d ago
$783TCGPlayerNear Mint9d ago
$831TCGPlayerNear Mint9d ago
$901eBayNear Mint12d ago
$818eBayNear Mint13d ago
$871MercariNear Mint14d ago
$938PWCCNear Mint16d ago
$824MercariNear Mint17d ago
$811TCGPlayerNear Mint17d ago
$853Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint18d ago
$811PWCCNear Mint23d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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