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Dragonite Holo Rare

Simulated

Dragonite Holo Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Holo Rare · 170/180

Character: Dragonite

high confidencebearish2930d 25.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$106
Lowest listing $94.2010.9% below
Bear Case
$86.61
Base Case
$106
Bull Case
$124

Price History

Dec 2Range $75.67$136May 30

Opportunity Score

39
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Strong demand (19 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish29

Dragonite Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-25.1%). Estimated fair value is $106 against a lowest active listing of $94. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-25.1% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
19.0
Velocity Score
95/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-2.8%
Confidence
89/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps107.2250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices113.2225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection97.4825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.5520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$84.49Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6210d agoJan 1View
$85.61TCGPlayerNear Mint8312d agoJan 1View
$85.65Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9417d agoJun 2View
$85.78Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6113d agoJan 1View
$91.13Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9015d agoJan 1View
$91.50MercariNear Mint9311d agoJan 1View
$96.82Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint769d agoJan 1View
$97.30eBayNear Mint843d agoJan 1View
$98.08TCGPlayerNear Mint8517d agoJun 2View
$103PWCCNear Mint903d agoJan 1View
$103PWCCNear Mint6913d agoJan 1View
$104Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint829d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$92.28eBayNear Mint3h ago
$96.19eBayNear Mint1d ago
$94.53TCGPlayerNear Mint5d ago
$103MercariNear Mint7d ago
$104PWCCNear Mint9d ago
$99.20MercariNear Mint11d ago
$93.28MercariNear Mint11d ago
$85.46MercariNear Mint17d ago
$85.09PWCCNear Mint17d ago
$73.75PWCCNear Mint18d ago
$84.21eBayNear Mint24d ago
$92.92TCGPlayerNear Mint25d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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