Dragonite Holo Rare
SimulatedDragonite Holo Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Holo Rare · 170/180
Character: Dragonite
Price History
Opportunity Score
39- 11% below fair value+13 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (19 sales/mo)+6 pts
- Low active inventory+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish29Dragonite Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-25.1%). Estimated fair value is $106 against a lowest active listing of $94. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-25.1% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 107.22 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 113.22 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 97.48 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.55 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $84.49 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 62 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $85.61 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 83 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $85.65 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 94 | 17d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $85.78 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 61 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $91.13 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 90 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $91.50 | Mercari | Near Mint | 93 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $96.82 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 76 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $97.30 | eBay | Near Mint | 84 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $98.08 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 85 | 17d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $103 | PWCC | Near Mint | 90 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $103 | PWCC | Near Mint | 69 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $104 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 82 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $92.28 | eBay | Near Mint | 3h ago |
| $96.19 | eBay | Near Mint | 1d ago |
| $94.53 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $103 | Mercari | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $104 | PWCC | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $99.20 | Mercari | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $93.28 | Mercari | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $85.46 | Mercari | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $85.09 | PWCC | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $73.75 | PWCC | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $84.21 | eBay | Near Mint | 24d ago |
| $92.92 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 25d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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