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Persian — Scarlet & Violet 151 — Uncommon

Persian

Simulated

Persian · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Uncommon · 53

Character: Persian

high confidenceneutral5230d ▼2.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$38.53
Lowest listing $33.3813.4% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$33.30
Base Case
$38.53
Bull Case
$43.68

Price History

Dec 8Range $50.28 – $106Jun 5

Opportunity Score

44
  • 13% below fair value+16 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+4 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral52

Persian is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-2.4%). Estimated fair value is $39 against a lowest active listing of $33. Valuation confidence is high based on 6-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
9.5
Velocity Score
48/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+10.5%
Confidence
90/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-44.1%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$33.38
All-in cost
$62.38+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$134
Expected proceeds
$34.8530% gem → $40.06 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.53
Breakeven graded value
$239value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
6.6dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
33.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-9.5%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
10active listings
Recent sold avg
$78.62mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$71.16cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$71.65
Median
$79.56
Mean
$80.28
Max
$86.39

Showing 8 of 8 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps37.7850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices38.4825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection36.9425%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.0920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$71.16Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9371d agoJan 1View
$75.30TCGPlayerNear Mint8859d agoJun 9View
$75.45MercariNear Mint7972d agoJan 1View
$78.72TCGPlayerNear Mint7755d agoJan 1View
$79.88MercariNear Mint8555d agoJan 1View
$80.27TCGPlayerNear Mint8274d agoJan 1View
$80.76Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8470d agoJan 1View
$81.43PWCCNear Mint6565d agoJan 1View
$83.48PWCCNear Mint8660d agoJan 1View
$88.75MercariNear Mint7671d agoJun 9View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$78.99Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint54d ago
$86.39MercariNear Mint59d ago
$77.71Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint60d ago
$71.65Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint69d ago
$78.36eBayNear Mint82d ago
$83.05MercariNear Mint90d ago
$80.12PWCCNear Mint90d ago
$85.97eBayNear Mint110d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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