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Umbreon V (Full Art)

BGS 9.5Simulated

Umbreon V (Full Art) · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Full Art · 95/207

Character: Umbreon

high confidencebearish2130d 16.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$532
Lowest listing $47510.7% below
Bear Case
$457
Base Case
$532
Bull Case
$604

Price History

Dec 2Range $426$762May 30

Opportunity Score

40
  • 11% below fair value+12 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Population growth slowing+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish21

Umbreon V (Full Art) (BGS 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-16.3%). Estimated fair value is $532 against a lowest active listing of $475. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-16.3% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
20
Sales / Month
10.0
Velocity Score
50/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-3.8%
Total Graded
7,758
Gem Mint
3,446
Population Growth
+1.3%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps555.8350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices537.5425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection508.4125%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-0.6650%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.7620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$559eBayGraded8319d agoJan 1View
$575MercariGraded892d agoMay 31View
$581PWCCGraded948d agoJan 1View
$591PWCCGraded6712d agoJan 1View
$595PWCCGraded877d agoJan 1View
$640TCGPlayerGraded853d agoJun 3View
$662PWCCGraded815d agoJan 1View
$681eBayGraded892d agoJan 1View
$705MercariGraded9116d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$565MercariGraded7d ago
$626Facebook MarketplaceGraded10d ago
$595eBayGraded18d ago
$627eBayGraded26d ago
$660eBayGraded45d ago
$704TCGPlayerGraded53d ago
$700PWCCGraded57d ago
$687MercariGraded59d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
$653$6136.2%10.3%438
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 16% below fair value+19 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$303$25516.0%13.4%1756
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
  • 16% below fair value+19 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
$1,642$1,37716.1%0.5%2259
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 17% below fair value+19 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$280$23316.6%20.3%1542
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$410$36910.1%3.5%2145
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
  • 23% below fair value+27 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$353$27123.4%9.8%1262