Umbreon V (Full Art)
BGS 9.5SimulatedUmbreon V (Full Art) · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Full Art · 95/207
Character: Umbreon
Price History
Opportunity Score
40- 11% below fair value+12 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Population growth slowing+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish21Umbreon V (Full Art) (BGS 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-16.3%). Estimated fair value is $532 against a lowest active listing of $475. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-16.3% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 555.83 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 537.54 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 508.41 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.66 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.76 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $559 | eBay | Graded | 83 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $575 | Mercari | Graded | 89 | 2d ago | May 31 | View |
| $581 | PWCC | Graded | 94 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $591 | PWCC | Graded | 67 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $595 | PWCC | Graded | 87 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $640 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 85 | 3d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $662 | PWCC | Graded | 81 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $681 | eBay | Graded | 89 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $705 | Mercari | Graded | 91 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $565 | Mercari | Graded | 7d ago |
| $626 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 10d ago |
| $595 | eBay | Graded | 18d ago |
| $627 | eBay | Graded | 26d ago |
| $660 | eBay | Graded | 45d ago |
| $704 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 53d ago |
| $700 | PWCC | Graded | 57d ago |
| $687 | Mercari | Graded | 59d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $653 | $613 | 6.2% | 10.3% | 4 | 38 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $303 | $255 | 16.0% | 13.4% | 17 | 56 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,642 | $1,377 | 16.1% | 0.5% | 22 | 59 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $280 | $233 | 16.6% | 20.3% | 15 | 42 |
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $410 | $369 | 10.1% | 3.5% | 21 | 45 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $353 | $271 | 23.4% | 9.8% | 12 | 62 |